Current forecasts from multiple models, including BBC and international services, indicate a high near 35°C for Ankara on August 22 under sunny conditions with light easterly winds and minimal cloud cover. Ankara’s continental climate amplifies daytime heating in late summer, with typical August maxima of 32–35°C driven by high pressure and dry air masses; recent observations show no significant deviation from seasonal norms or incoming frontal systems that would alter this range. Traders thus assign the highest implied probability (51.5%) to 34°C, with 35°C close behind, reflecting model consensus around these thresholds while acknowledging forecast uncertainty from minor steering variations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Ankara on August 22?
Highest temperature in Ankara on August 22?
34°C 52%
35°C 29%
33°C 12%
36°C 6%
NEW
NEW
Aug 22, 2026
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
4%
33°C
12%
34°C
52%
35°C
29%
36°C
6%
37°C
5%
38°C
1%
39°C
<1%
40°C or higher
<1%
34°C 52%
35°C 29%
33°C 12%
36°C 6%
NEW
NEW
Aug 22, 2026
30°C or below
$70 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$0 Vol.
1%
32°C
$0 Vol.
4%
33°C
$159 Vol.
12%
34°C
$80 Vol.
52%
35°C
$74 Vol.
29%
36°C
$31 Vol.
6%
37°C
$25 Vol.
5%
38°C
$175 Vol.
1%
39°C
$696 Vol.
<1%
40°C or higher
$614 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple models, including BBC and international services, indicate a high near 35°C for Ankara on August 22 under sunny conditions with light easterly winds and minimal cloud cover. Ankara’s continental climate amplifies daytime heating in late summer, with typical August maxima of 32–35°C driven by high pressure and dry air masses; recent observations show no significant deviation from seasonal norms or incoming frontal systems that would alter this range. Traders thus assign the highest implied probability (51.5%) to 34°C, with 35°C close behind, reflecting model consensus around these thresholds while acknowledging forecast uncertainty from minor steering variations.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$1,923End Date
Aug 22, 2026Market Opened
Aug 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple models, including BBC and international services, indicate a high near 35°C for Ankara on August 22 under sunny conditions with light easterly winds and minimal cloud cover. Ankara’s continental climate amplifies daytime heating in late summer, with typical August maxima of 32–35°C driven by high pressure and dry air masses; recent observations show no significant deviation from seasonal norms or incoming frontal systems that would alter this range. Traders thus assign the highest implied probability (51.5%) to 34°C, with 35°C close behind, reflecting model consensus around these thresholds while acknowledging forecast uncertainty from minor steering variations.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,923End Date
Aug 22, 2026Market Opened
Aug 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from multiple models, including BBC and international services, indicate a high near 35°C for Ankara on August 22 under sunny conditions with light easterly winds and minimal cloud cover. Ankara’s continental climate amplifies daytime heating in late summer, with typical August maxima of 32–35°C driven by high pressure and dry air masses; recent observations show no significant deviation from seasonal norms or incoming frontal systems that would alter this range. Traders thus assign the highest implied probability (51.5%) to 34°C, with 35°C close behind, reflecting model consensus around these thresholds while acknowledging forecast uncertainty from minor steering variations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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