Latest meteorological forecasts from agencies including the Met Office and BBC Weather indicate a maximum temperature of 32–33°C in Ankara on August 21, driven by stable high-pressure conditions and limited cloud cover expected under typical late-summer patterns. This aligns with climatological averages near 32°C for the period, with model consensus showing modest daytime heating amid northerly flows and no significant heat advection or subsidence strengthening. Recent observational trends through mid-August confirm a seasonal decline from peak July values, supporting the market's heavy weighting toward 32°C (59%) and 33°C (34%) outcomes. Updated model runs and Turkish State Meteorological Service briefings over the next 24 hours will provide the final resolution inputs.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Ankara on August 21?
Highest temperature in Ankara on August 21?
32°C 60%
33°C 34%
31°C 8%
34°C 3%
NEW
NEW
Aug 21, 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
2%
31°C
8%
32°C
60%
33°C
34%
34°C
3%
35°C
<1%
36°C
1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
32°C 60%
33°C 34%
31°C 8%
34°C 3%
NEW
NEW
Aug 21, 2026
28°C or below
$404 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$322 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$281 Vol.
2%
31°C
$894 Vol.
8%
32°C
$669 Vol.
60%
33°C
$1,279 Vol.
34%
34°C
$496 Vol.
3%
35°C
$146 Vol.
<1%
36°C
$232 Vol.
1%
37°C
$180 Vol.
<1%
38°C or higher
$286 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest meteorological forecasts from agencies including the Met Office and BBC Weather indicate a maximum temperature of 32–33°C in Ankara on August 21, driven by stable high-pressure conditions and limited cloud cover expected under typical late-summer patterns. This aligns with climatological averages near 32°C for the period, with model consensus showing modest daytime heating amid northerly flows and no significant heat advection or subsidence strengthening. Recent observational trends through mid-August confirm a seasonal decline from peak July values, supporting the market's heavy weighting toward 32°C (59%) and 33°C (34%) outcomes. Updated model runs and Turkish State Meteorological Service briefings over the next 24 hours will provide the final resolution inputs.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$5,191End Date
Aug 21, 2026Market Opened
Aug 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest meteorological forecasts from agencies including the Met Office and BBC Weather indicate a maximum temperature of 32–33°C in Ankara on August 21, driven by stable high-pressure conditions and limited cloud cover expected under typical late-summer patterns. This aligns with climatological averages near 32°C for the period, with model consensus showing modest daytime heating amid northerly flows and no significant heat advection or subsidence strengthening. Recent observational trends through mid-August confirm a seasonal decline from peak July values, supporting the market's heavy weighting toward 32°C (59%) and 33°C (34%) outcomes. Updated model runs and Turkish State Meteorological Service briefings over the next 24 hours will provide the final resolution inputs.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$5,191End Date
Aug 21, 2026Market Opened
Aug 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest meteorological forecasts from agencies including the Met Office and BBC Weather indicate a maximum temperature of 32–33°C in Ankara on August 21, driven by stable high-pressure conditions and limited cloud cover expected under typical late-summer patterns. This aligns with climatological averages near 32°C for the period, with model consensus showing modest daytime heating amid northerly flows and no significant heat advection or subsidence strengthening. Recent observational trends through mid-August confirm a seasonal decline from peak July values, supporting the market's heavy weighting toward 32°C (59%) and 33°C (34%) outcomes. Updated model runs and Turkish State Meteorological Service briefings over the next 24 hours will provide the final resolution inputs.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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