Forecast models from agencies including Russia's Hydrometeorological Center, ECMWF, and GFS show Moscow's minimum temperature on August 23 likely falling in the 13–16°C range amid stable late-summer conditions with modest moisture and light variable winds. Nocturnal radiative cooling rates will hinge on cloud cover and humidity levels, which can suppress or enhance temperature drops overnight. Ensemble spreads reflect genuine uncertainty in exact clearing versus overcast scenarios, consistent with climatological August lows near 12–15°C. Updated short-range guidance and any shifts in steering patterns over the next 48 hours remain the key variables that could tip trader-implied probabilities among the tightly clustered outcomes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Moscow on August 23?
Lowest temperature in Moscow on August 23?
20°C or higher 86%
15°C 45%
16°C 45%
12°C 45%
NEW
NEW
Aug 23, 2026
10°C or below
42%
11°C
27%
12°C
45%
13°C
45%
14°C
27%
15°C
45%
16°C
45%
17°C
27%
18°C
45%
19°C
27%
20°C or higher
86%
20°C or higher 86%
15°C 45%
16°C 45%
12°C 45%
NEW
NEW
Aug 23, 2026
10°C or below
$5 Vol.
42%
11°C
$0 Vol.
27%
12°C
$0 Vol.
45%
13°C
$0 Vol.
45%
14°C
$0 Vol.
27%
15°C
$15 Vol.
45%
16°C
$0 Vol.
45%
17°C
$0 Vol.
27%
18°C
$15 Vol.
45%
19°C
$15 Vol.
27%
20°C or higher
$27 Vol.
86%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies including Russia's Hydrometeorological Center, ECMWF, and GFS show Moscow's minimum temperature on August 23 likely falling in the 13–16°C range amid stable late-summer conditions with modest moisture and light variable winds. Nocturnal radiative cooling rates will hinge on cloud cover and humidity levels, which can suppress or enhance temperature drops overnight. Ensemble spreads reflect genuine uncertainty in exact clearing versus overcast scenarios, consistent with climatological August lows near 12–15°C. Updated short-range guidance and any shifts in steering patterns over the next 48 hours remain the key variables that could tip trader-implied probabilities among the tightly clustered outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 21, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$77End Date
Aug 23, 2026Market Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies including Russia's Hydrometeorological Center, ECMWF, and GFS show Moscow's minimum temperature on August 23 likely falling in the 13–16°C range amid stable late-summer conditions with modest moisture and light variable winds. Nocturnal radiative cooling rates will hinge on cloud cover and humidity levels, which can suppress or enhance temperature drops overnight. Ensemble spreads reflect genuine uncertainty in exact clearing versus overcast scenarios, consistent with climatological August lows near 12–15°C. Updated short-range guidance and any shifts in steering patterns over the next 48 hours remain the key variables that could tip trader-implied probabilities among the tightly clustered outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$77End Date
Aug 23, 2026Market Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from agencies including Russia's Hydrometeorological Center, ECMWF, and GFS show Moscow's minimum temperature on August 23 likely falling in the 13–16°C range amid stable late-summer conditions with modest moisture and light variable winds. Nocturnal radiative cooling rates will hinge on cloud cover and humidity levels, which can suppress or enhance temperature drops overnight. Ensemble spreads reflect genuine uncertainty in exact clearing versus overcast scenarios, consistent with climatological August lows near 12–15°C. Updated short-range guidance and any shifts in steering patterns over the next 48 hours remain the key variables that could tip trader-implied probabilities among the tightly clustered outcomes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions