Recent forecast model runs from major centers show a tight cluster of solutions for Taipei's peak temperature on August 23, with ensemble means centered near 31–33 °C amid typical late-summer subtropical conditions. High humidity and weak steering flow are limiting daytime mixing and allowing modest variability tied to the precise timing of any sea-breeze or weak frontal passage. Historical late-August maxima in the city average near 33 °C, yet current atmospheric guidance indicates slightly suppressed values if cloud cover increases. Traders are weighting the 31–33 °C outcomes most heavily because successive model cycles have not yet converged on a clear warmer or cooler signal, leaving resolution sensitive to the next 48-hour update cycle.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Taipei on August 23?
Highest temperature in Taipei on August 23?
31°C 26%
32°C 24%
33°C 21%
34°C 14%
NEW
NEW
Aug 23, 2026
27°C or below
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
6%
30°C
7%
31°C
26%
32°C
24%
33°C
21%
34°C
14%
35°C
6%
36°C
2%
37°C or higher
<1%
31°C 26%
32°C 24%
33°C 21%
34°C 14%
NEW
NEW
Aug 23, 2026
27°C or below
$13 Vol.
1%
28°C
$0 Vol.
1%
29°C
$5 Vol.
6%
30°C
$45 Vol.
7%
31°C
$0 Vol.
26%
32°C
$5 Vol.
24%
33°C
$29 Vol.
21%
34°C
$43 Vol.
14%
35°C
$35 Vol.
6%
36°C
$7 Vol.
2%
37°C or higher
$100 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs from major centers show a tight cluster of solutions for Taipei's peak temperature on August 23, with ensemble means centered near 31–33 °C amid typical late-summer subtropical conditions. High humidity and weak steering flow are limiting daytime mixing and allowing modest variability tied to the precise timing of any sea-breeze or weak frontal passage. Historical late-August maxima in the city average near 33 °C, yet current atmospheric guidance indicates slightly suppressed values if cloud cover increases. Traders are weighting the 31–33 °C outcomes most heavily because successive model cycles have not yet converged on a clear warmer or cooler signal, leaving resolution sensitive to the next 48-hour update cycle.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 21, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$283End Date
Aug 23, 2026Market Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs from major centers show a tight cluster of solutions for Taipei's peak temperature on August 23, with ensemble means centered near 31–33 °C amid typical late-summer subtropical conditions. High humidity and weak steering flow are limiting daytime mixing and allowing modest variability tied to the precise timing of any sea-breeze or weak frontal passage. Historical late-August maxima in the city average near 33 °C, yet current atmospheric guidance indicates slightly suppressed values if cloud cover increases. Traders are weighting the 31–33 °C outcomes most heavily because successive model cycles have not yet converged on a clear warmer or cooler signal, leaving resolution sensitive to the next 48-hour update cycle.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$283End Date
Aug 23, 2026Market Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model runs from major centers show a tight cluster of solutions for Taipei's peak temperature on August 23, with ensemble means centered near 31–33 °C amid typical late-summer subtropical conditions. High humidity and weak steering flow are limiting daytime mixing and allowing modest variability tied to the precise timing of any sea-breeze or weak frontal passage. Historical late-August maxima in the city average near 33 °C, yet current atmospheric guidance indicates slightly suppressed values if cloud cover increases. Traders are weighting the 31–33 °C outcomes most heavily because successive model cycles have not yet converged on a clear warmer or cooler signal, leaving resolution sensitive to the next 48-hour update cycle.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions