Recent forecast guidance from ECMWF and GFS models shows Milan under the influence of an upper-level trough promoting scattered cloud cover and afternoon convective activity through August 22, which limits peak insolation and keeps daytime maxima clustered near 27–29 °C. Thunderstorm timing and coverage introduce the main uncertainty: earlier or more widespread storms favor 27–28 °C outcomes by reducing solar heating, while delayed or localized convection could permit brief clearing and readings reaching 29 °C. Historical August climatology for Milan supports highs around 28–30 °C under similar synoptic patterns, and the tight market split between 28 °C and 29 °C reflects this narrow range of plausible model solutions ahead of the next high-resolution runs.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Milan on August 22?
Highest temperature in Milan on August 22?
28°C 35%
29°C 34%
30°C or higher 12%
27°C 11%
NEW
NEW
Aug 22, 2026
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
10%
27°C
11%
28°C
35%
29°C
34%
30°C or higher
12%
28°C 35%
29°C 34%
30°C or higher 12%
27°C 11%
NEW
NEW
Aug 22, 2026
20°C or below
$299 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$299 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$299 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$314 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$68 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$0 Vol.
1%
26°C
$0 Vol.
10%
27°C
$118 Vol.
11%
28°C
$39 Vol.
35%
29°C
$28 Vol.
34%
30°C or higher
$68 Vol.
12%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from ECMWF and GFS models shows Milan under the influence of an upper-level trough promoting scattered cloud cover and afternoon convective activity through August 22, which limits peak insolation and keeps daytime maxima clustered near 27–29 °C. Thunderstorm timing and coverage introduce the main uncertainty: earlier or more widespread storms favor 27–28 °C outcomes by reducing solar heating, while delayed or localized convection could permit brief clearing and readings reaching 29 °C. Historical August climatology for Milan supports highs around 28–30 °C under similar synoptic patterns, and the tight market split between 28 °C and 29 °C reflects this narrow range of plausible model solutions ahead of the next high-resolution runs.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 20, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$1,532End Date
Aug 22, 2026Market Opened
Aug 20, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from ECMWF and GFS models shows Milan under the influence of an upper-level trough promoting scattered cloud cover and afternoon convective activity through August 22, which limits peak insolation and keeps daytime maxima clustered near 27–29 °C. Thunderstorm timing and coverage introduce the main uncertainty: earlier or more widespread storms favor 27–28 °C outcomes by reducing solar heating, while delayed or localized convection could permit brief clearing and readings reaching 29 °C. Historical August climatology for Milan supports highs around 28–30 °C under similar synoptic patterns, and the tight market split between 28 °C and 29 °C reflects this narrow range of plausible model solutions ahead of the next high-resolution runs.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,532End Date
Aug 22, 2026Market Opened
Aug 20, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast guidance from ECMWF and GFS models shows Milan under the influence of an upper-level trough promoting scattered cloud cover and afternoon convective activity through August 22, which limits peak insolation and keeps daytime maxima clustered near 27–29 °C. Thunderstorm timing and coverage introduce the main uncertainty: earlier or more widespread storms favor 27–28 °C outcomes by reducing solar heating, while delayed or localized convection could permit brief clearing and readings reaching 29 °C. Historical August climatology for Milan supports highs around 28–30 °C under similar synoptic patterns, and the tight market split between 28 °C and 29 °C reflects this narrow range of plausible model solutions ahead of the next high-resolution runs.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions