Trader consensus across the 24–27°C range reflects typical August nighttime conditions in Panama City’s tropical maritime climate, where high humidity and frequent cloud cover limit radiative cooling and keep overnight lows clustered near the long-term average of 23–25°C. Recent model runs from regional forecasts show modest variability tied to scattered showers and variable trade-wind strength, which can either enhance mixing and raise minima or allow brief clear periods that drop temperatures a degree or two. With resolution hinging on the precise 24-hour minimum recorded at official stations, traders weigh the balance between expected convective activity and any temporary breaks in cloudiness that would favor the lower end of the distribution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Panama City on August 21?
Lowest temperature in Panama City on August 21?
22°C 46%
24°C 35%
25°C 35%
26°C 35%
NEW
NEW
Aug 21, 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
46%
23°C
4%
24°C
35%
25°C
35%
26°C
35%
27°C
35%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
22°C 46%
24°C 35%
25°C 35%
26°C 35%
NEW
NEW
Aug 21, 2026
21°C or below
$133 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$96 Vol.
46%
23°C
$124 Vol.
4%
24°C
$0 Vol.
35%
25°C
$0 Vol.
35%
26°C
$0 Vol.
35%
27°C
$0 Vol.
35%
28°C
$227 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$500 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$415 Vol.
<1%
31°C or higher
$902 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus across the 24–27°C range reflects typical August nighttime conditions in Panama City’s tropical maritime climate, where high humidity and frequent cloud cover limit radiative cooling and keep overnight lows clustered near the long-term average of 23–25°C. Recent model runs from regional forecasts show modest variability tied to scattered showers and variable trade-wind strength, which can either enhance mixing and raise minima or allow brief clear periods that drop temperatures a degree or two. With resolution hinging on the precise 24-hour minimum recorded at official stations, traders weigh the balance between expected convective activity and any temporary breaks in cloudiness that would favor the lower end of the distribution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 20, 2026, 1:30 PM ET
Volume
$2,397End Date
Aug 21, 2026Market Opened
Aug 20, 2026, 1:30 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus across the 24–27°C range reflects typical August nighttime conditions in Panama City’s tropical maritime climate, where high humidity and frequent cloud cover limit radiative cooling and keep overnight lows clustered near the long-term average of 23–25°C. Recent model runs from regional forecasts show modest variability tied to scattered showers and variable trade-wind strength, which can either enhance mixing and raise minima or allow brief clear periods that drop temperatures a degree or two. With resolution hinging on the precise 24-hour minimum recorded at official stations, traders weigh the balance between expected convective activity and any temporary breaks in cloudiness that would favor the lower end of the distribution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,397End Date
Aug 21, 2026Market Opened
Aug 20, 2026, 1:30 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus across the 24–27°C range reflects typical August nighttime conditions in Panama City’s tropical maritime climate, where high humidity and frequent cloud cover limit radiative cooling and keep overnight lows clustered near the long-term average of 23–25°C. Recent model runs from regional forecasts show modest variability tied to scattered showers and variable trade-wind strength, which can either enhance mixing and raise minima or allow brief clear periods that drop temperatures a degree or two. With resolution hinging on the precise 24-hour minimum recorded at official stations, traders weigh the balance between expected convective activity and any temporary breaks in cloudiness that would favor the lower end of the distribution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions