Skip to main content
icon for Lowest temperature in Miami on August 23?

Lowest temperature in Miami on August 23?

icon for Lowest temperature in Miami on August 23?

Lowest temperature in Miami on August 23?

Aug 22

Aug 23

Aug 22

Aug 23

80-81°F 44%

82-83°F 32%

78-79°F 20%

84-85°F 11%

Polymarket
NEW

80-81°F 44%

82-83°F 32%

78-79°F 20%

84-85°F 11%

Polymarket
NEW

71°F or below

$5 Vol.

1%

72-73°F

$5 Vol.

1%

74-75°F

$5 Vol.

1%

76-77°F

$0 Vol.

9%

78-79°F

$0 Vol.

20%

80-81°F

$16 Vol.

44%

82-83°F

$0 Vol.

32%

84-85°F

$53 Vol.

11%

86-87°F

$10 Vol.

1%

88-89°F

$10 Vol.

1%

90°F or higher

$10 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent southerly flow and elevated moisture are keeping overnight lows elevated in Miami.** On August 23, 2026, official National Weather Service guidance and model consensus point to a minimum temperature near 81–83°F, driven by high dew points (76–79°F), light winds under 10 mph, and extensive cloud cover from diurnal thunderstorms that limit nighttime radiative cooling. This setup aligns with the current pattern of weak troughing east of Florida and deep tropical moisture (precipitable water 1.7–2.0 inches), preventing the typical late-August drop toward the 77–78°F climatological average. Recent observations show overnight readings holding in the low-to-mid 80s amid 50–70% rain chances, reinforcing trader consensus around the 80–83°F range as the most probable outcome.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$115
End Date
Aug 23, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 12:28 AM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent southerly flow and elevated moisture are keeping overnight lows elevated in Miami.** On August 23, 2026, official National Weather Service guidance and model consensus point to a minimum temperature near 81–83°F, driven by high dew points (76–79°F), light winds under 10 mph, and extensive cloud cover from diurnal thunderstorms that limit nighttime radiative cooling. This setup aligns with the current pattern of weak troughing east of Florida and deep tropical moisture (precipitable water 1.7–2.0 inches), preventing the typical late-August drop toward the 77–78°F climatological average. Recent observations show overnight readings holding in the low-to-mid 80s amid 50–70% rain chances, reinforcing trader consensus around the 80–83°F range as the most probable outcome.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$115
End Date
Aug 23, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 12:28 AM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Related

icon for Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on August 23?

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on August 23?

43%
icon for Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on August 22?

Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on August 22?

44%
icon for Will the lowest temperature in Chicago be between 60-61°F on August 23?

Will the lowest temperature in Chicago be between 60-61°F on August 23?

44%

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Lowest temperature in Miami on August 23?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "80-81°F" at 44%, followed by "82-83°F" at 32%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 44¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 44% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Lowest temperature in Miami on August 23?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 22, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Lowest temperature in Miami on August 23?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Lowest temperature in Miami on August 23?" is "80-81°F" at 44%, meaning the market assigns a 44% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "82-83°F" at 32%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Lowest temperature in Miami on August 23?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.