Persistent rainfall and extensive cloud cover from active monsoon patterns and nearby tropical influences are suppressing peak daytime heating in Guangzhou, producing model consensus for a maximum temperature of 31–33 °C on August 24. Official forecasts from Chinese meteorological sources and international agencies consistently show widespread showers or thunderstorms that reduce solar insolation and enhance evaporative cooling, keeping readings below the seasonal average high of ~33 °C. Minor differences among 32 °C, 33 °C, and 34 °C outcomes hinge on the precise timing and intensity of convective bursts versus any brief clearing periods, with current ensemble spreads reflecting this inherent short-range uncertainty. Traders are weighting recent model runs and real-time observations heavily as the date approaches.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Guangzhou on August 24?
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on August 24?
33°C 26%
35°C or higher 23%
32°C 22%
34°C 20%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
25°C or below
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
6%
30°C
9%
31°C
13%
32°C
22%
33°C
26%
34°C
27%
35°C or higher
23%
33°C 26%
35°C or higher 23%
32°C 22%
34°C 20%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
25°C or below
$0 Vol.
1%
26°C
$0 Vol.
1%
27°C
$0 Vol.
1%
28°C
$0 Vol.
1%
29°C
$5 Vol.
6%
30°C
$5 Vol.
9%
31°C
$0 Vol.
13%
32°C
$0 Vol.
22%
33°C
$61 Vol.
26%
34°C
$30 Vol.
27%
35°C or higher
$9 Vol.
23%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent rainfall and extensive cloud cover from active monsoon patterns and nearby tropical influences are suppressing peak daytime heating in Guangzhou, producing model consensus for a maximum temperature of 31–33 °C on August 24. Official forecasts from Chinese meteorological sources and international agencies consistently show widespread showers or thunderstorms that reduce solar insolation and enhance evaporative cooling, keeping readings below the seasonal average high of ~33 °C. Minor differences among 32 °C, 33 °C, and 34 °C outcomes hinge on the precise timing and intensity of convective bursts versus any brief clearing periods, with current ensemble spreads reflecting this inherent short-range uncertainty. Traders are weighting recent model runs and real-time observations heavily as the date approaches.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$110End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent rainfall and extensive cloud cover from active monsoon patterns and nearby tropical influences are suppressing peak daytime heating in Guangzhou, producing model consensus for a maximum temperature of 31–33 °C on August 24. Official forecasts from Chinese meteorological sources and international agencies consistently show widespread showers or thunderstorms that reduce solar insolation and enhance evaporative cooling, keeping readings below the seasonal average high of ~33 °C. Minor differences among 32 °C, 33 °C, and 34 °C outcomes hinge on the precise timing and intensity of convective bursts versus any brief clearing periods, with current ensemble spreads reflecting this inherent short-range uncertainty. Traders are weighting recent model runs and real-time observations heavily as the date approaches.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$110End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent rainfall and extensive cloud cover from active monsoon patterns and nearby tropical influences are suppressing peak daytime heating in Guangzhou, producing model consensus for a maximum temperature of 31–33 °C on August 24. Official forecasts from Chinese meteorological sources and international agencies consistently show widespread showers or thunderstorms that reduce solar insolation and enhance evaporative cooling, keeping readings below the seasonal average high of ~33 °C. Minor differences among 32 °C, 33 °C, and 34 °C outcomes hinge on the precise timing and intensity of convective bursts versus any brief clearing periods, with current ensemble spreads reflecting this inherent short-range uncertainty. Traders are weighting recent model runs and real-time observations heavily as the date approaches.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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