Traders see the highest temperature in Chengdu on August 24 clustering around 34–36°C because late-summer monsoon conditions typically produce daily maxima in that range, with seasonal cooling from early-August peaks near 32–34°C offset by occasional clear-sky heating. Subtropical humidity and scattered afternoon showers introduce forecast variability across ensemble models, keeping the 33°C and 37°C+ outcomes viable though less probable. Official guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration emphasizes these narrow thresholds near resolution, where small shifts in steering patterns or precipitation timing can alter the daily high by 1–2°C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Chengdu on August 24?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on August 24?
34°C 24%
36°C 24%
35°C 24%
37°C 14%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
28°C or below
4%
29°C
4%
30°C
4%
31°C
2%
32°C
11%
33°C
13%
34°C
24%
35°C
24%
36°C
24%
37°C
14%
38°C or higher
5%
34°C 24%
36°C 24%
35°C 24%
37°C 14%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
28°C or below
$5 Vol.
4%
29°C
$5 Vol.
4%
30°C
$5 Vol.
4%
31°C
$30 Vol.
2%
32°C
$20 Vol.
11%
33°C
$20 Vol.
13%
34°C
$19 Vol.
24%
35°C
$0 Vol.
24%
36°C
$0 Vol.
24%
37°C
$0 Vol.
14%
38°C or higher
$126 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see the highest temperature in Chengdu on August 24 clustering around 34–36°C because late-summer monsoon conditions typically produce daily maxima in that range, with seasonal cooling from early-August peaks near 32–34°C offset by occasional clear-sky heating. Subtropical humidity and scattered afternoon showers introduce forecast variability across ensemble models, keeping the 33°C and 37°C+ outcomes viable though less probable. Official guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration emphasizes these narrow thresholds near resolution, where small shifts in steering patterns or precipitation timing can alter the daily high by 1–2°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$220End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see the highest temperature in Chengdu on August 24 clustering around 34–36°C because late-summer monsoon conditions typically produce daily maxima in that range, with seasonal cooling from early-August peaks near 32–34°C offset by occasional clear-sky heating. Subtropical humidity and scattered afternoon showers introduce forecast variability across ensemble models, keeping the 33°C and 37°C+ outcomes viable though less probable. Official guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration emphasizes these narrow thresholds near resolution, where small shifts in steering patterns or precipitation timing can alter the daily high by 1–2°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$220End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders see the highest temperature in Chengdu on August 24 clustering around 34–36°C because late-summer monsoon conditions typically produce daily maxima in that range, with seasonal cooling from early-August peaks near 32–34°C offset by occasional clear-sky heating. Subtropical humidity and scattered afternoon showers introduce forecast variability across ensemble models, keeping the 33°C and 37°C+ outcomes viable though less probable. Official guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration emphasizes these narrow thresholds near resolution, where small shifts in steering patterns or precipitation timing can alter the daily high by 1–2°C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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