Recent seasonal outlooks from Saudi Arabia’s National Center for Meteorology indicate temperatures running 1–1.6 °C above the long-term August average across the western region, driven by elevated Red Sea sea-surface temperatures and persistent high-pressure patterns that limit cloud cover and rainfall. Short-range model guidance for 26 August shows daytime maxima clustered between 36 °C and 40 °C, with the precise peak hinging on local wind shifts and the timing of any diurnal heating spike. These factors create the tight market spread between the 38 °C and 39 °C outcomes, as traders weigh the likelihood of a modest exceedance versus stabilization near the climatological 37–38 °C envelope. Updated model runs and official Saudi Meteorological bulletins over the next 48 hours will refine the range.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Jeddah on August 26?
Highest temperature in Jeddah on August 26?
39°C or higher 39%
38°C 34%
37°C 17%
36°C 11%
NEW
NEW
Aug 26, 2026
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
1%
35°C
4%
36°C
11%
37°C
17%
38°C
34%
39°C or higher
39%
39°C or higher 39%
38°C 34%
37°C 17%
36°C 11%
NEW
NEW
Aug 26, 2026
29°C or below
$0 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$0 Vol.
1%
35°C
$158 Vol.
4%
36°C
$20 Vol.
11%
37°C
$0 Vol.
17%
38°C
$46 Vol.
34%
39°C or higher
$35 Vol.
39%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent seasonal outlooks from Saudi Arabia’s National Center for Meteorology indicate temperatures running 1–1.6 °C above the long-term August average across the western region, driven by elevated Red Sea sea-surface temperatures and persistent high-pressure patterns that limit cloud cover and rainfall. Short-range model guidance for 26 August shows daytime maxima clustered between 36 °C and 40 °C, with the precise peak hinging on local wind shifts and the timing of any diurnal heating spike. These factors create the tight market spread between the 38 °C and 39 °C outcomes, as traders weigh the likelihood of a modest exceedance versus stabilization near the climatological 37–38 °C envelope. Updated model runs and official Saudi Meteorological bulletins over the next 48 hours will refine the range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 24, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$259End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejnResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent seasonal outlooks from Saudi Arabia’s National Center for Meteorology indicate temperatures running 1–1.6 °C above the long-term August average across the western region, driven by elevated Red Sea sea-surface temperatures and persistent high-pressure patterns that limit cloud cover and rainfall. Short-range model guidance for 26 August shows daytime maxima clustered between 36 °C and 40 °C, with the precise peak hinging on local wind shifts and the timing of any diurnal heating spike. These factors create the tight market spread between the 38 °C and 39 °C outcomes, as traders weigh the likelihood of a modest exceedance versus stabilization near the climatological 37–38 °C envelope. Updated model runs and official Saudi Meteorological bulletins over the next 48 hours will refine the range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$259End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejnResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent seasonal outlooks from Saudi Arabia’s National Center for Meteorology indicate temperatures running 1–1.6 °C above the long-term August average across the western region, driven by elevated Red Sea sea-surface temperatures and persistent high-pressure patterns that limit cloud cover and rainfall. Short-range model guidance for 26 August shows daytime maxima clustered between 36 °C and 40 °C, with the precise peak hinging on local wind shifts and the timing of any diurnal heating spike. These factors create the tight market spread between the 38 °C and 39 °C outcomes, as traders weigh the likelihood of a modest exceedance versus stabilization near the climatological 37–38 °C envelope. Updated model runs and official Saudi Meteorological bulletins over the next 48 hours will refine the range.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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