Recent model runs for Chongqing highlight variability in peak temperatures on August 24, with trader odds spread across 36°C (31.5%) and 39°C or higher (24.5%) reflecting uncertainty in afternoon convection and cloud cover. The city's subtropical monsoon climate features high baseline humidity and urban heat island effects that amplify daytime maxima, while steering patterns from the western Pacific subtropical high and potential frontal passages can suppress or enhance heating. Historical August averages near 34°C provide context, yet short-term shifts in moisture advection or localized rainfall often determine whether readings exceed 38°C. Updated numerical weather prediction guidance from regional agencies over the next 48 hours will likely tighten these market-implied probabilities.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Chongqing on August 24?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on August 24?
36°C 33%
39°C or higher 25%
37°C 20%
35°C 16%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
29°C or below
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
2%
32°C
9%
33°C
10%
34°C
13%
35°C
16%
36°C
33%
37°C
19%
38°C
11%
39°C or higher
25%
36°C 33%
39°C or higher 25%
37°C 20%
35°C 16%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
29°C or below
$0 Vol.
1%
30°C
$0 Vol.
1%
31°C
$25 Vol.
2%
32°C
$14 Vol.
9%
33°C
$20 Vol.
10%
34°C
$6 Vol.
13%
35°C
$0 Vol.
16%
36°C
$0 Vol.
33%
37°C
$15 Vol.
19%
38°C
$0 Vol.
11%
39°C or higher
$0 Vol.
25%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model runs for Chongqing highlight variability in peak temperatures on August 24, with trader odds spread across 36°C (31.5%) and 39°C or higher (24.5%) reflecting uncertainty in afternoon convection and cloud cover. The city's subtropical monsoon climate features high baseline humidity and urban heat island effects that amplify daytime maxima, while steering patterns from the western Pacific subtropical high and potential frontal passages can suppress or enhance heating. Historical August averages near 34°C provide context, yet short-term shifts in moisture advection or localized rainfall often determine whether readings exceed 38°C. Updated numerical weather prediction guidance from regional agencies over the next 48 hours will likely tighten these market-implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$80End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model runs for Chongqing highlight variability in peak temperatures on August 24, with trader odds spread across 36°C (31.5%) and 39°C or higher (24.5%) reflecting uncertainty in afternoon convection and cloud cover. The city's subtropical monsoon climate features high baseline humidity and urban heat island effects that amplify daytime maxima, while steering patterns from the western Pacific subtropical high and potential frontal passages can suppress or enhance heating. Historical August averages near 34°C provide context, yet short-term shifts in moisture advection or localized rainfall often determine whether readings exceed 38°C. Updated numerical weather prediction guidance from regional agencies over the next 48 hours will likely tighten these market-implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$80End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model runs for Chongqing highlight variability in peak temperatures on August 24, with trader odds spread across 36°C (31.5%) and 39°C or higher (24.5%) reflecting uncertainty in afternoon convection and cloud cover. The city's subtropical monsoon climate features high baseline humidity and urban heat island effects that amplify daytime maxima, while steering patterns from the western Pacific subtropical high and potential frontal passages can suppress or enhance heating. Historical August averages near 34°C provide context, yet short-term shifts in moisture advection or localized rainfall often determine whether readings exceed 38°C. Updated numerical weather prediction guidance from regional agencies over the next 48 hours will likely tighten these market-implied probabilities.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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