Recent numerical weather prediction runs from AEMET, ECMWF, and GFS show Madrid’s maximum temperature on August 26 settling near 28–29 °C, driven by a transition to cooler Atlantic air, increased cloud cover, and moderate southwesterly flow that limits daytime heating. This marks a notable drop from recent highs above 32 °C, consistent with late-summer climatology as seasonal cooling accelerates. Ensemble guidance exhibits limited spread around these values, supporting the market’s concentration on 28–30 °C outcomes while leaving room for minor revisions from the final model updates or local urban effects.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Madrid on August 26?
Highest temperature in Madrid on August 26?
29°C 44%
30°C 25%
28°C 18%
31°C 9%
NEW
NEW
Aug 26, 2026
25°C or below
2%
26°C
5%
27°C
9%
28°C
18%
29°C
44%
30°C
25%
31°C
9%
32°C
9%
33°C
4%
34°C
3%
35°C or higher
2%
29°C 44%
30°C 25%
28°C 18%
31°C 9%
NEW
NEW
Aug 26, 2026
25°C or below
$5 Vol.
2%
26°C
$40 Vol.
5%
27°C
$0 Vol.
9%
28°C
$42 Vol.
18%
29°C
$20 Vol.
44%
30°C
$171 Vol.
25%
31°C
$0 Vol.
9%
32°C
$12 Vol.
9%
33°C
$5 Vol.
4%
34°C
$0 Vol.
3%
35°C or higher
$0 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction runs from AEMET, ECMWF, and GFS show Madrid’s maximum temperature on August 26 settling near 28–29 °C, driven by a transition to cooler Atlantic air, increased cloud cover, and moderate southwesterly flow that limits daytime heating. This marks a notable drop from recent highs above 32 °C, consistent with late-summer climatology as seasonal cooling accelerates. Ensemble guidance exhibits limited spread around these values, supporting the market’s concentration on 28–30 °C outcomes while leaving room for minor revisions from the final model updates or local urban effects.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 24, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$296End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction runs from AEMET, ECMWF, and GFS show Madrid’s maximum temperature on August 26 settling near 28–29 °C, driven by a transition to cooler Atlantic air, increased cloud cover, and moderate southwesterly flow that limits daytime heating. This marks a notable drop from recent highs above 32 °C, consistent with late-summer climatology as seasonal cooling accelerates. Ensemble guidance exhibits limited spread around these values, supporting the market’s concentration on 28–30 °C outcomes while leaving room for minor revisions from the final model updates or local urban effects.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$296End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather prediction runs from AEMET, ECMWF, and GFS show Madrid’s maximum temperature on August 26 settling near 28–29 °C, driven by a transition to cooler Atlantic air, increased cloud cover, and moderate southwesterly flow that limits daytime heating. This marks a notable drop from recent highs above 32 °C, consistent with late-summer climatology as seasonal cooling accelerates. Ensemble guidance exhibits limited spread around these values, supporting the market’s concentration on 28–30 °C outcomes while leaving room for minor revisions from the final model updates or local urban effects.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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