Recent forecasts for Wuhan on August 26 show highs clustering in the mid-30s Celsius amid a persistent heatwave, with official yellow warnings issued for temperatures exceeding 35°C. Model runs and agency outlooks differ modestly on peak values due to variable factors including scattered thunderstorm potential, easterly wind patterns, humidity levels around 55-65%, and partial cloud cover that could suppress or allow afternoon maxima. These elements create the tight clustering around 36-38°C in trader-implied probabilities, as even small shifts in convective activity or insolation timing can alter the daily high by 1-2°C. Official Chinese meteorological data and international models will converge closer to resolution, highlighting typical late-summer subtropical variability.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Wuhan on August 26?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on August 26?
37°C 33%
36°C 27%
38°C 21%
35°C 16%
NEW
NEW
Aug 26, 2026
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
2%
33°C
2%
34°C
6%
35°C
16%
36°C
27%
37°C
33%
38°C
21%
39°C
5%
40°C or higher
7%
37°C 33%
36°C 27%
38°C 21%
35°C 16%
NEW
NEW
Aug 26, 2026
30°C or below
$0 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$0 Vol.
2%
33°C
$27 Vol.
2%
34°C
$0 Vol.
6%
35°C
$0 Vol.
16%
36°C
$0 Vol.
27%
37°C
$11 Vol.
33%
38°C
$38 Vol.
21%
39°C
$0 Vol.
5%
40°C or higher
$35 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Wuhan on August 26 show highs clustering in the mid-30s Celsius amid a persistent heatwave, with official yellow warnings issued for temperatures exceeding 35°C. Model runs and agency outlooks differ modestly on peak values due to variable factors including scattered thunderstorm potential, easterly wind patterns, humidity levels around 55-65%, and partial cloud cover that could suppress or allow afternoon maxima. These elements create the tight clustering around 36-38°C in trader-implied probabilities, as even small shifts in convective activity or insolation timing can alter the daily high by 1-2°C. Official Chinese meteorological data and international models will converge closer to resolution, highlighting typical late-summer subtropical variability.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 24, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$111End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Wuhan on August 26 show highs clustering in the mid-30s Celsius amid a persistent heatwave, with official yellow warnings issued for temperatures exceeding 35°C. Model runs and agency outlooks differ modestly on peak values due to variable factors including scattered thunderstorm potential, easterly wind patterns, humidity levels around 55-65%, and partial cloud cover that could suppress or allow afternoon maxima. These elements create the tight clustering around 36-38°C in trader-implied probabilities, as even small shifts in convective activity or insolation timing can alter the daily high by 1-2°C. Official Chinese meteorological data and international models will converge closer to resolution, highlighting typical late-summer subtropical variability.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$111End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Wuhan on August 26 show highs clustering in the mid-30s Celsius amid a persistent heatwave, with official yellow warnings issued for temperatures exceeding 35°C. Model runs and agency outlooks differ modestly on peak values due to variable factors including scattered thunderstorm potential, easterly wind patterns, humidity levels around 55-65%, and partial cloud cover that could suppress or allow afternoon maxima. These elements create the tight clustering around 36-38°C in trader-implied probabilities, as even small shifts in convective activity or insolation timing can alter the daily high by 1-2°C. Official Chinese meteorological data and international models will converge closer to resolution, highlighting typical late-summer subtropical variability.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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