Recent official forecasts from agencies including the Met Office and BBC indicate a minimum temperature in Wuhan of 25–29°C on August 26, aligning closely with the clustered market-implied odds around 27–29°C. In Wuhan's subtropical monsoon climate during late summer, clear skies and light easterly winds promote radiative cooling overnight after daytime highs near 35–36°C, while high humidity (often 50–60%) moderates the drop. Model consensus supports this range, though minor variations in cloud cover or urban heat island effects could shift the exact low by 1–2°C. Traders appear to weigh these atmospheric dynamics and the proximity to resolution, with upcoming model updates likely to refine the outlook.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Wuhan on August 26?
Lowest temperature in Wuhan on August 26?
24°C 39%
33°C or higher 35%
23°C or below 34%
27°C 33%
NEW
NEW
Aug 26, 2026
23°C or below
34%
24°C
39%
25°C
22%
26°C
18%
27°C
33%
28°C
29%
29°C
23%
30°C
22%
31°C
1%
32°C
1%
33°C or higher
35%
24°C 39%
33°C or higher 35%
23°C or below 34%
27°C 33%
NEW
NEW
Aug 26, 2026
23°C or below
$5 Vol.
34%
24°C
$135 Vol.
39%
25°C
$0 Vol.
22%
26°C
$0 Vol.
18%
27°C
$0 Vol.
33%
28°C
$0 Vol.
29%
29°C
$0 Vol.
23%
30°C
$0 Vol.
22%
31°C
$0 Vol.
1%
32°C
$5 Vol.
1%
33°C or higher
$5 Vol.
35%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from agencies including the Met Office and BBC indicate a minimum temperature in Wuhan of 25–29°C on August 26, aligning closely with the clustered market-implied odds around 27–29°C. In Wuhan's subtropical monsoon climate during late summer, clear skies and light easterly winds promote radiative cooling overnight after daytime highs near 35–36°C, while high humidity (often 50–60%) moderates the drop. Model consensus supports this range, though minor variations in cloud cover or urban heat island effects could shift the exact low by 1–2°C. Traders appear to weigh these atmospheric dynamics and the proximity to resolution, with upcoming model updates likely to refine the outlook.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 24, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$150End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from agencies including the Met Office and BBC indicate a minimum temperature in Wuhan of 25–29°C on August 26, aligning closely with the clustered market-implied odds around 27–29°C. In Wuhan's subtropical monsoon climate during late summer, clear skies and light easterly winds promote radiative cooling overnight after daytime highs near 35–36°C, while high humidity (often 50–60%) moderates the drop. Model consensus supports this range, though minor variations in cloud cover or urban heat island effects could shift the exact low by 1–2°C. Traders appear to weigh these atmospheric dynamics and the proximity to resolution, with upcoming model updates likely to refine the outlook.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$150End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from agencies including the Met Office and BBC indicate a minimum temperature in Wuhan of 25–29°C on August 26, aligning closely with the clustered market-implied odds around 27–29°C. In Wuhan's subtropical monsoon climate during late summer, clear skies and light easterly winds promote radiative cooling overnight after daytime highs near 35–36°C, while high humidity (often 50–60%) moderates the drop. Model consensus supports this range, though minor variations in cloud cover or urban heat island effects could shift the exact low by 1–2°C. Traders appear to weigh these atmospheric dynamics and the proximity to resolution, with upcoming model updates likely to refine the outlook.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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