Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate overnight lows in Wuhan near 25–28°C on August 24, 2026, aligning with the tightly contested market prices around 28°C. In Wuhan's subtropical monsoon climate, minimal nocturnal cooling stems from high humidity, urban heat island effects, and limited radiative loss under typical late-summer cloud cover or light winds. Slight variations in steering patterns, precipitation timing, or model runs (such as differences in boundary layer mixing) differentiate the 28°C and 31°C outcomes, while cooler bins hinge on stronger winds or clearer skies enabling greater heat dissipation. Updated guidance from regional agencies over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities as the event approaches resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Wuhan on August 24?
Lowest temperature in Wuhan on August 24?
31°C 84%
22°C or below 79%
32°C or higher 79%
30°C 51%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
22°C or below
79%
23°C
27%
24°C
21%
25°C
27%
26°C
27%
27°C
29%
28°C
44%
29°C
26%
30°C
51%
31°C
84%
32°C or higher
79%
31°C 84%
22°C or below 79%
32°C or higher 79%
30°C 51%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
22°C or below
$5 Vol.
79%
23°C
$5 Vol.
27%
24°C
$35 Vol.
21%
25°C
$0 Vol.
27%
26°C
$0 Vol.
27%
27°C
$0 Vol.
29%
28°C
$0 Vol.
44%
29°C
$0 Vol.
26%
30°C
$5 Vol.
51%
31°C
$5 Vol.
84%
32°C or higher
$5 Vol.
79%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate overnight lows in Wuhan near 25–28°C on August 24, 2026, aligning with the tightly contested market prices around 28°C. In Wuhan's subtropical monsoon climate, minimal nocturnal cooling stems from high humidity, urban heat island effects, and limited radiative loss under typical late-summer cloud cover or light winds. Slight variations in steering patterns, precipitation timing, or model runs (such as differences in boundary layer mixing) differentiate the 28°C and 31°C outcomes, while cooler bins hinge on stronger winds or clearer skies enabling greater heat dissipation. Updated guidance from regional agencies over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities as the event approaches resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$60End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate overnight lows in Wuhan near 25–28°C on August 24, 2026, aligning with the tightly contested market prices around 28°C. In Wuhan's subtropical monsoon climate, minimal nocturnal cooling stems from high humidity, urban heat island effects, and limited radiative loss under typical late-summer cloud cover or light winds. Slight variations in steering patterns, precipitation timing, or model runs (such as differences in boundary layer mixing) differentiate the 28°C and 31°C outcomes, while cooler bins hinge on stronger winds or clearer skies enabling greater heat dissipation. Updated guidance from regional agencies over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities as the event approaches resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$60End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate overnight lows in Wuhan near 25–28°C on August 24, 2026, aligning with the tightly contested market prices around 28°C. In Wuhan's subtropical monsoon climate, minimal nocturnal cooling stems from high humidity, urban heat island effects, and limited radiative loss under typical late-summer cloud cover or light winds. Slight variations in steering patterns, precipitation timing, or model runs (such as differences in boundary layer mixing) differentiate the 28°C and 31°C outcomes, while cooler bins hinge on stronger winds or clearer skies enabling greater heat dissipation. Updated guidance from regional agencies over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities as the event approaches resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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