Recent forecast guidance from agencies including the UK Met Office points to a daytime maximum near 22°C in Amsterdam on August 24 under mostly sunny skies and light northwesterly winds, supporting the market's leading 44% implied probability for that outcome. Late-August climatology shows average highs of 21–22°C, with current model consensus reflecting stable high pressure and minimal cloud interference that keeps temperatures from exceeding 23°C. The tight spread between 21°C (37%) and 22°C stems from minor ensemble differences in afternoon mixing and any brief showers that could suppress peaks by 1°C. Short-range model updates over the next 24–48 hours will likely sharpen resolution criteria ahead of the official daily maximum observation.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Amsterdam on August 24?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on August 24?
22°C 44%
21°C 37%
20°C 12%
23°C 7%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
17°C or below
1%
18°C
1%
19°C
4%
20°C
12%
21°C
37%
22°C
44%
23°C
7%
24°C
4%
25°C
2%
26°C
2%
27°C or higher
1%
22°C 44%
21°C 37%
20°C 12%
23°C 7%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
17°C or below
$15 Vol.
1%
18°C
$15 Vol.
1%
19°C
$5 Vol.
4%
20°C
$331 Vol.
12%
21°C
$109 Vol.
37%
22°C
$163 Vol.
44%
23°C
$105 Vol.
7%
24°C
$13 Vol.
4%
25°C
$20 Vol.
2%
26°C
$5 Vol.
2%
27°C or higher
$5 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from agencies including the UK Met Office points to a daytime maximum near 22°C in Amsterdam on August 24 under mostly sunny skies and light northwesterly winds, supporting the market's leading 44% implied probability for that outcome. Late-August climatology shows average highs of 21–22°C, with current model consensus reflecting stable high pressure and minimal cloud interference that keeps temperatures from exceeding 23°C. The tight spread between 21°C (37%) and 22°C stems from minor ensemble differences in afternoon mixing and any brief showers that could suppress peaks by 1°C. Short-range model updates over the next 24–48 hours will likely sharpen resolution criteria ahead of the official daily maximum observation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 1:57 AM ET
Volume
$786End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 1:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from agencies including the UK Met Office points to a daytime maximum near 22°C in Amsterdam on August 24 under mostly sunny skies and light northwesterly winds, supporting the market's leading 44% implied probability for that outcome. Late-August climatology shows average highs of 21–22°C, with current model consensus reflecting stable high pressure and minimal cloud interference that keeps temperatures from exceeding 23°C. The tight spread between 21°C (37%) and 22°C stems from minor ensemble differences in afternoon mixing and any brief showers that could suppress peaks by 1°C. Short-range model updates over the next 24–48 hours will likely sharpen resolution criteria ahead of the official daily maximum observation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$786End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 1:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast guidance from agencies including the UK Met Office points to a daytime maximum near 22°C in Amsterdam on August 24 under mostly sunny skies and light northwesterly winds, supporting the market's leading 44% implied probability for that outcome. Late-August climatology shows average highs of 21–22°C, with current model consensus reflecting stable high pressure and minimal cloud interference that keeps temperatures from exceeding 23°C. The tight spread between 21°C (37%) and 22°C stems from minor ensemble differences in afternoon mixing and any brief showers that could suppress peaks by 1°C. Short-range model updates over the next 24–48 hours will likely sharpen resolution criteria ahead of the official daily maximum observation.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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