Traders assign the highest implied probability (55%) to a Miami high of 92–93°F on August 24 because late-August subtropical conditions typically produce afternoon maxima in the low-to-mid 90s under strong daytime heating, moderated by Atlantic sea breezes and scattered convection. NOAA and National Weather Service guidance currently project highs near 91°F amid partly cloudy skies and a 30–50% thunderstorm chance that limits further warming, while recent model consensus shows limited deviation from the long-term August average of 89°F. A brief extreme-heat episode that produced a record-tying 100°F reading earlier in the month has since eased, reinforcing market focus on the narrow 90–93°F window ahead of tomorrow’s official observation at Miami International Airport.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Miami on August 24?
Highest temperature in Miami on August 24?
92-93°F 55%
90-91°F 36%
94-95°F 7%
88-89°F 4%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
83°F or below
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
4%
90-91°F
36%
92-93°F
55%
94-95°F
7%
96-97°F
1%
98-99°F
1%
100-101°F
1%
102°F or higher
<1%
92-93°F 55%
90-91°F 36%
94-95°F 7%
88-89°F 4%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
83°F or below
$68 Vol.
<1%
84-85°F
$208 Vol.
<1%
86-87°F
$100 Vol.
1%
88-89°F
$367 Vol.
4%
90-91°F
$2,077 Vol.
36%
92-93°F
$1,303 Vol.
55%
94-95°F
$342 Vol.
7%
96-97°F
$65 Vol.
1%
98-99°F
$105 Vol.
1%
100-101°F
$145 Vol.
1%
102°F or higher
$100 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign the highest implied probability (55%) to a Miami high of 92–93°F on August 24 because late-August subtropical conditions typically produce afternoon maxima in the low-to-mid 90s under strong daytime heating, moderated by Atlantic sea breezes and scattered convection. NOAA and National Weather Service guidance currently project highs near 91°F amid partly cloudy skies and a 30–50% thunderstorm chance that limits further warming, while recent model consensus shows limited deviation from the long-term August average of 89°F. A brief extreme-heat episode that produced a record-tying 100°F reading earlier in the month has since eased, reinforcing market focus on the narrow 90–93°F window ahead of tomorrow’s official observation at Miami International Airport.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Volume
$4,877End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 8:56 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign the highest implied probability (55%) to a Miami high of 92–93°F on August 24 because late-August subtropical conditions typically produce afternoon maxima in the low-to-mid 90s under strong daytime heating, moderated by Atlantic sea breezes and scattered convection. NOAA and National Weather Service guidance currently project highs near 91°F amid partly cloudy skies and a 30–50% thunderstorm chance that limits further warming, while recent model consensus shows limited deviation from the long-term August average of 89°F. A brief extreme-heat episode that produced a record-tying 100°F reading earlier in the month has since eased, reinforcing market focus on the narrow 90–93°F window ahead of tomorrow’s official observation at Miami International Airport.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,877End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 8:56 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders assign the highest implied probability (55%) to a Miami high of 92–93°F on August 24 because late-August subtropical conditions typically produce afternoon maxima in the low-to-mid 90s under strong daytime heating, moderated by Atlantic sea breezes and scattered convection. NOAA and National Weather Service guidance currently project highs near 91°F amid partly cloudy skies and a 30–50% thunderstorm chance that limits further warming, while recent model consensus shows limited deviation from the long-term August average of 89°F. A brief extreme-heat episode that produced a record-tying 100°F reading earlier in the month has since eased, reinforcing market focus on the narrow 90–93°F window ahead of tomorrow’s official observation at Miami International Airport.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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