Recent forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration indicate a daily maximum near 32–33°C for Busan on August 26 amid partly cloudy conditions and light westerly flow, yet trader consensus clusters tightly around 35–36°C due to the lingering strength of the North Pacific subtropical high. This ridge continues advecting warm, humid maritime air northward while permitting sufficient solar insolation for afternoon heating; small variations in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, or localized sea-breeze timing can easily shift the peak by 1–2°C. Historical late-August climatology shows occasional excursions above 34°C when subsidence strengthens, supporting the market’s slight preference for the upper end of the observed range while underscoring remaining model spread ahead of the next high-resolution runs.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Busan on August 26?
36°C 34%
35°C 31%
37°C 18%
34°C 16%
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
4%
31°C
2%
32°C
4%
33°C
8%
34°C
16%
35°C
31%
36°C
34%
37°C
18%
38°C or higher
7%
36°C 34%
35°C 31%
37°C 18%
34°C 16%
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
4%
31°C
2%
32°C
4%
33°C
8%
34°C
16%
35°C
31%
36°C
34%
37°C
18%
38°C or higher
7%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 24, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration indicate a daily maximum near 32–33°C for Busan on August 26 amid partly cloudy conditions and light westerly flow, yet trader consensus clusters tightly around 35–36°C due to the lingering strength of the North Pacific subtropical high. This ridge continues advecting warm, humid maritime air northward while permitting sufficient solar insolation for afternoon heating; small variations in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, or localized sea-breeze timing can easily shift the peak by 1–2°C. Historical late-August climatology shows occasional excursions above 34°C when subsidence strengthens, supporting the market’s slight preference for the upper end of the observed range while underscoring remaining model spread ahead of the next high-resolution runs.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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