Close consensus between 33°C and 34°C at 30% implied probability each reflects genuine short-term forecast uncertainty for Taipei's maximum temperature on August 26, driven by ensemble model spreads in the strength of subtropical high pressure and associated southerly flow. Official guidance from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration and global models such as ECMWF and GFS shows minor differences in cloud cover, boundary-layer moisture, and urban heat retention that can shift daytime peaks by 1–2°C. Historical August climatology places typical highs near 33°C, with typhoon-related steering patterns or sudden convective outbreaks able to alter outcomes before resolution. New model runs and updated local observations over the next 48 hours will likely tighten the distribution ahead of market close.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Taipei on August 26?
Highest temperature in Taipei on August 26?
33°C 30%
34°C 30%
32°C 24%
35°C 6%
NEW
NEW
Aug 26, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
3%
30°C
8%
31°C
11%
32°C
24%
33°C
30%
34°C
30%
35°C
6%
36°C or higher
3%
33°C 30%
34°C 30%
32°C 24%
35°C 6%
NEW
NEW
Aug 26, 2026
26°C or below
$0 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$0 Vol.
1%
28°C
$0 Vol.
1%
29°C
$17 Vol.
3%
30°C
$25 Vol.
8%
31°C
$21 Vol.
11%
32°C
$0 Vol.
24%
33°C
$91 Vol.
30%
34°C
$32 Vol.
30%
35°C
$202 Vol.
6%
36°C or higher
$300 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Close consensus between 33°C and 34°C at 30% implied probability each reflects genuine short-term forecast uncertainty for Taipei's maximum temperature on August 26, driven by ensemble model spreads in the strength of subtropical high pressure and associated southerly flow. Official guidance from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration and global models such as ECMWF and GFS shows minor differences in cloud cover, boundary-layer moisture, and urban heat retention that can shift daytime peaks by 1–2°C. Historical August climatology places typical highs near 33°C, with typhoon-related steering patterns or sudden convective outbreaks able to alter outcomes before resolution. New model runs and updated local observations over the next 48 hours will likely tighten the distribution ahead of market close.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 24, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$687End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Close consensus between 33°C and 34°C at 30% implied probability each reflects genuine short-term forecast uncertainty for Taipei's maximum temperature on August 26, driven by ensemble model spreads in the strength of subtropical high pressure and associated southerly flow. Official guidance from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration and global models such as ECMWF and GFS shows minor differences in cloud cover, boundary-layer moisture, and urban heat retention that can shift daytime peaks by 1–2°C. Historical August climatology places typical highs near 33°C, with typhoon-related steering patterns or sudden convective outbreaks able to alter outcomes before resolution. New model runs and updated local observations over the next 48 hours will likely tighten the distribution ahead of market close.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$687End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Close consensus between 33°C and 34°C at 30% implied probability each reflects genuine short-term forecast uncertainty for Taipei's maximum temperature on August 26, driven by ensemble model spreads in the strength of subtropical high pressure and associated southerly flow. Official guidance from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration and global models such as ECMWF and GFS shows minor differences in cloud cover, boundary-layer moisture, and urban heat retention that can shift daytime peaks by 1–2°C. Historical August climatology places typical highs near 33°C, with typhoon-related steering patterns or sudden convective outbreaks able to alter outcomes before resolution. New model runs and updated local observations over the next 48 hours will likely tighten the distribution ahead of market close.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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