Current forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate showers and a daily maximum near 32–34°C for Chengdu on August 26, 2026, amid the late-summer monsoon pattern over the Sichuan Basin. Persistent warmth from a regional heat ridge supports afternoon peaks in the mid-30s if cloud cover remains limited, while scattered convection and higher humidity could suppress readings by 1–3°C through evaporative cooling and reduced solar insolation. Model consensus shows tight clustering around 34–36°C outcomes because small shifts in precipitation timing or wind speed—common in subtropical basins—can swing the official maximum recorded at the Shuangliu station by a degree or two. Recent heavy rainfall across Sichuan has maintained elevated soil moisture without breaking the seasonal warmth, leaving traders sensitive to the next 48-hour model runs that will refine the exact afternoon peak.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Chengdu on August 26?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on August 26?
35°C 26%
36°C 24%
32°C 19%
34°C 18%
NEW
NEW
Aug 26, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
4%
30°C
3%
31°C
8%
32°C
13%
33°C
15%
34°C
18%
35°C
26%
36°C
24%
37°C or higher
15%
35°C 26%
36°C 24%
32°C 19%
34°C 18%
NEW
NEW
Aug 26, 2026
27°C or below
$0 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$5 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$5 Vol.
4%
30°C
$136 Vol.
3%
31°C
$170 Vol.
8%
32°C
$40 Vol.
13%
33°C
$15 Vol.
15%
34°C
$7 Vol.
18%
35°C
$93 Vol.
26%
36°C
$20 Vol.
24%
37°C or higher
$28 Vol.
15%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate showers and a daily maximum near 32–34°C for Chengdu on August 26, 2026, amid the late-summer monsoon pattern over the Sichuan Basin. Persistent warmth from a regional heat ridge supports afternoon peaks in the mid-30s if cloud cover remains limited, while scattered convection and higher humidity could suppress readings by 1–3°C through evaporative cooling and reduced solar insolation. Model consensus shows tight clustering around 34–36°C outcomes because small shifts in precipitation timing or wind speed—common in subtropical basins—can swing the official maximum recorded at the Shuangliu station by a degree or two. Recent heavy rainfall across Sichuan has maintained elevated soil moisture without breaking the seasonal warmth, leaving traders sensitive to the next 48-hour model runs that will refine the exact afternoon peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 24, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$447End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate showers and a daily maximum near 32–34°C for Chengdu on August 26, 2026, amid the late-summer monsoon pattern over the Sichuan Basin. Persistent warmth from a regional heat ridge supports afternoon peaks in the mid-30s if cloud cover remains limited, while scattered convection and higher humidity could suppress readings by 1–3°C through evaporative cooling and reduced solar insolation. Model consensus shows tight clustering around 34–36°C outcomes because small shifts in precipitation timing or wind speed—common in subtropical basins—can swing the official maximum recorded at the Shuangliu station by a degree or two. Recent heavy rainfall across Sichuan has maintained elevated soil moisture without breaking the seasonal warmth, leaving traders sensitive to the next 48-hour model runs that will refine the exact afternoon peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$447End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate showers and a daily maximum near 32–34°C for Chengdu on August 26, 2026, amid the late-summer monsoon pattern over the Sichuan Basin. Persistent warmth from a regional heat ridge supports afternoon peaks in the mid-30s if cloud cover remains limited, while scattered convection and higher humidity could suppress readings by 1–3°C through evaporative cooling and reduced solar insolation. Model consensus shows tight clustering around 34–36°C outcomes because small shifts in precipitation timing or wind speed—common in subtropical basins—can swing the official maximum recorded at the Shuangliu station by a degree or two. Recent heavy rainfall across Sichuan has maintained elevated soil moisture without breaking the seasonal warmth, leaving traders sensitive to the next 48-hour model runs that will refine the exact afternoon peak.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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