Forecast consensus from multiple meteorological models points to a peak temperature of 29–30°C in Milan on August 26 under scattered clouds and light southerly or variable winds associated with a stable anticyclone. This setup favors gradual daytime heating from solar radiation without strong vertical mixing or significant cloud cover to suppress maxima, while dew points near 19–20°C and humidity around 60–70% moderate the rate of temperature rise. Recent model runs show little day-to-day shift, with historical late-August baselines for the region near 28°C supporting the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around these two outcomes. Minor variations in afternoon cloud development or wind direction remain the main sources of uncertainty for the exact hourly maximum.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Milan on August 26?
Highest temperature in Milan on August 26?
29°C 63%
30°C 28%
28°C 10%
31°C 2%
NEW
$16,051 Vol.
NEW
$16,051 Vol.
Aug 26, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
2%
28°C
10%
29°C
63%
30°C
28%
31°C
2%
32°C or higher
<1%
29°C 63%
30°C 28%
28°C 10%
31°C 2%
NEW
$16,051 Vol.
NEW
$16,051 Vol.
Aug 26, 2026
22°C or below
$220 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$220 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$225 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$406 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$270 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$1,030 Vol.
2%
28°C
$2,693 Vol.
10%
29°C
$4,511 Vol.
63%
30°C
$4,415 Vol.
28%
31°C
$1,178 Vol.
2%
32°C or higher
$884 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from multiple meteorological models points to a peak temperature of 29–30°C in Milan on August 26 under scattered clouds and light southerly or variable winds associated with a stable anticyclone. This setup favors gradual daytime heating from solar radiation without strong vertical mixing or significant cloud cover to suppress maxima, while dew points near 19–20°C and humidity around 60–70% moderate the rate of temperature rise. Recent model runs show little day-to-day shift, with historical late-August baselines for the region near 28°C supporting the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around these two outcomes. Minor variations in afternoon cloud development or wind direction remain the main sources of uncertainty for the exact hourly maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 24, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$16,051End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from multiple meteorological models points to a peak temperature of 29–30°C in Milan on August 26 under scattered clouds and light southerly or variable winds associated with a stable anticyclone. This setup favors gradual daytime heating from solar radiation without strong vertical mixing or significant cloud cover to suppress maxima, while dew points near 19–20°C and humidity around 60–70% moderate the rate of temperature rise. Recent model runs show little day-to-day shift, with historical late-August baselines for the region near 28°C supporting the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around these two outcomes. Minor variations in afternoon cloud development or wind direction remain the main sources of uncertainty for the exact hourly maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$16,051End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast consensus from multiple meteorological models points to a peak temperature of 29–30°C in Milan on August 26 under scattered clouds and light southerly or variable winds associated with a stable anticyclone. This setup favors gradual daytime heating from solar radiation without strong vertical mixing or significant cloud cover to suppress maxima, while dew points near 19–20°C and humidity around 60–70% moderate the rate of temperature rise. Recent model runs show little day-to-day shift, with historical late-August baselines for the region near 28°C supporting the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around these two outcomes. Minor variations in afternoon cloud development or wind direction remain the main sources of uncertainty for the exact hourly maximum.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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