Recent numerical weather model runs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and Global Forecast System (GFS) place Milan’s maximum temperature on August 27 near 30–32°C under a persistent subtropical ridge and typical Po Valley thermal conditions. Late-August climatology for the region shows average highs of 28–30°C, with limited day-to-day variability absent strong frontal passages or thunderstorm outflows. Current forecasts indicate partly cloudy skies and light winds that favor modest afternoon warming without extreme heat buildup, keeping the distribution centered on 30–31°C brackets. Traders have aligned implied probabilities with this model consensus, as updates to 850 hPa temperatures and surface observations in the next 48 hours represent the primary remaining variables before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Milan on August 27?
Highest temperature in Milan on August 27?
30°C 40%
31°C 23%
29°C 18%
28°C 7%
NEW
NEW
Aug 27, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
4%
28°C
7%
29°C
18%
30°C
40%
31°C
23%
32°C
3%
33°C
3%
34°C or higher
4%
30°C 40%
31°C 23%
29°C 18%
28°C 7%
NEW
NEW
Aug 27, 2026
24°C or below
$361 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$361 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$61 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$197 Vol.
4%
28°C
$0 Vol.
7%
29°C
$35 Vol.
18%
30°C
$1,450 Vol.
40%
31°C
$5 Vol.
23%
32°C
$5 Vol.
3%
33°C
$50 Vol.
3%
34°C or higher
$0 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather model runs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and Global Forecast System (GFS) place Milan’s maximum temperature on August 27 near 30–32°C under a persistent subtropical ridge and typical Po Valley thermal conditions. Late-August climatology for the region shows average highs of 28–30°C, with limited day-to-day variability absent strong frontal passages or thunderstorm outflows. Current forecasts indicate partly cloudy skies and light winds that favor modest afternoon warming without extreme heat buildup, keeping the distribution centered on 30–31°C brackets. Traders have aligned implied probabilities with this model consensus, as updates to 850 hPa temperatures and surface observations in the next 48 hours represent the primary remaining variables before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 25, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$2,525End Date
Aug 27, 2026Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather model runs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and Global Forecast System (GFS) place Milan’s maximum temperature on August 27 near 30–32°C under a persistent subtropical ridge and typical Po Valley thermal conditions. Late-August climatology for the region shows average highs of 28–30°C, with limited day-to-day variability absent strong frontal passages or thunderstorm outflows. Current forecasts indicate partly cloudy skies and light winds that favor modest afternoon warming without extreme heat buildup, keeping the distribution centered on 30–31°C brackets. Traders have aligned implied probabilities with this model consensus, as updates to 850 hPa temperatures and surface observations in the next 48 hours represent the primary remaining variables before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,525End Date
Aug 27, 2026Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather model runs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and Global Forecast System (GFS) place Milan’s maximum temperature on August 27 near 30–32°C under a persistent subtropical ridge and typical Po Valley thermal conditions. Late-August climatology for the region shows average highs of 28–30°C, with limited day-to-day variability absent strong frontal passages or thunderstorm outflows. Current forecasts indicate partly cloudy skies and light winds that favor modest afternoon warming without extreme heat buildup, keeping the distribution centered on 30–31°C brackets. Traders have aligned implied probabilities with this model consensus, as updates to 850 hPa temperatures and surface observations in the next 48 hours represent the primary remaining variables before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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