**Forecast consensus from numerical weather models positions daily maximum temperatures near 31–32°C as the most probable outcomes for Shenzhen on August 27, 2026.** Subtropical summer conditions, characterized by high humidity and a weak steering pattern, support this range, with climatological August highs averaging 30–32°C. Recent model runs indicate overcast skies and scattered thunderstorms that limit surface heating and cap extremes, reducing odds of 33°C or higher. Proximity to resolution—only two days out—means updates from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration will drive any late shifts, particularly if convective activity intensifies or clears earlier than expected. Trader pricing reflects this narrow band of uncertainty around the seasonal baseline.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Shenzhen on August 27?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on August 27?
31°C 36%
32°C 25%
30°C 20%
33°C 12%
NEW
NEW
Aug 27, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
6%
29°C
8%
30°C
20%
31°C
36%
32°C
25%
33°C
12%
34°C
6%
35°C or higher
<1%
31°C 36%
32°C 25%
30°C 20%
33°C 12%
NEW
NEW
Aug 27, 2026
25°C or below
$317 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$281 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$61 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$105 Vol.
6%
29°C
$0 Vol.
8%
30°C
$0 Vol.
20%
31°C
$15 Vol.
36%
32°C
$61 Vol.
25%
33°C
$103 Vol.
12%
34°C
$0 Vol.
6%
35°C or higher
$44 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from numerical weather models positions daily maximum temperatures near 31–32°C as the most probable outcomes for Shenzhen on August 27, 2026.** Subtropical summer conditions, characterized by high humidity and a weak steering pattern, support this range, with climatological August highs averaging 30–32°C. Recent model runs indicate overcast skies and scattered thunderstorms that limit surface heating and cap extremes, reducing odds of 33°C or higher. Proximity to resolution—only two days out—means updates from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration will drive any late shifts, particularly if convective activity intensifies or clears earlier than expected. Trader pricing reflects this narrow band of uncertainty around the seasonal baseline.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 25, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$988End Date
Aug 27, 2026Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from numerical weather models positions daily maximum temperatures near 31–32°C as the most probable outcomes for Shenzhen on August 27, 2026.** Subtropical summer conditions, characterized by high humidity and a weak steering pattern, support this range, with climatological August highs averaging 30–32°C. Recent model runs indicate overcast skies and scattered thunderstorms that limit surface heating and cap extremes, reducing odds of 33°C or higher. Proximity to resolution—only two days out—means updates from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration will drive any late shifts, particularly if convective activity intensifies or clears earlier than expected. Trader pricing reflects this narrow band of uncertainty around the seasonal baseline.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$988End Date
Aug 27, 2026Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast consensus from numerical weather models positions daily maximum temperatures near 31–32°C as the most probable outcomes for Shenzhen on August 27, 2026.** Subtropical summer conditions, characterized by high humidity and a weak steering pattern, support this range, with climatological August highs averaging 30–32°C. Recent model runs indicate overcast skies and scattered thunderstorms that limit surface heating and cap extremes, reducing odds of 33°C or higher. Proximity to resolution—only two days out—means updates from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration will drive any late shifts, particularly if convective activity intensifies or clears earlier than expected. Trader pricing reflects this narrow band of uncertainty around the seasonal baseline.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions