Trader sentiment for Guangzhou's peak temperature on August 27 centers on widespread cloud cover and heavy precipitation, with forecasts from multiple models indicating 80-100% rain probability and totals exceeding 20 mm that should suppress daytime heating. Subtropical monsoon patterns and elevated humidity levels near 78-82% are expected to limit the daily maximum near 31-33°C, aligning with recent model runs showing highs around 32°C amid overcast skies. This distribution reflects genuine uncertainty in storm timing and intensity, as earlier or lighter rainfall could allow brief clearing and a push toward 34°C, while prolonged downpours favor 31°C or lower. Updated guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles will refine these variables ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Guangzhou on August 27?
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on August 27?
32°C 35%
33°C 23%
31°C 20%
34°C 16%
NEW
NEW
Aug 27, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
2%
29°C
5%
30°C
10%
31°C
20%
32°C
35%
33°C
23%
34°C
16%
35°C or higher
1%
32°C 35%
33°C 23%
31°C 20%
34°C 16%
NEW
NEW
Aug 27, 2026
25°C or below
$327 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$331 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$331 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$0 Vol.
2%
29°C
$0 Vol.
5%
30°C
$0 Vol.
10%
31°C
$0 Vol.
20%
32°C
$28 Vol.
35%
33°C
$26 Vol.
23%
34°C
$25 Vol.
16%
35°C or higher
$0 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader sentiment for Guangzhou's peak temperature on August 27 centers on widespread cloud cover and heavy precipitation, with forecasts from multiple models indicating 80-100% rain probability and totals exceeding 20 mm that should suppress daytime heating. Subtropical monsoon patterns and elevated humidity levels near 78-82% are expected to limit the daily maximum near 31-33°C, aligning with recent model runs showing highs around 32°C amid overcast skies. This distribution reflects genuine uncertainty in storm timing and intensity, as earlier or lighter rainfall could allow brief clearing and a push toward 34°C, while prolonged downpours favor 31°C or lower. Updated guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles will refine these variables ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 25, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$1,068End Date
Aug 27, 2026Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader sentiment for Guangzhou's peak temperature on August 27 centers on widespread cloud cover and heavy precipitation, with forecasts from multiple models indicating 80-100% rain probability and totals exceeding 20 mm that should suppress daytime heating. Subtropical monsoon patterns and elevated humidity levels near 78-82% are expected to limit the daily maximum near 31-33°C, aligning with recent model runs showing highs around 32°C amid overcast skies. This distribution reflects genuine uncertainty in storm timing and intensity, as earlier or lighter rainfall could allow brief clearing and a push toward 34°C, while prolonged downpours favor 31°C or lower. Updated guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles will refine these variables ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,068End Date
Aug 27, 2026Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment for Guangzhou's peak temperature on August 27 centers on widespread cloud cover and heavy precipitation, with forecasts from multiple models indicating 80-100% rain probability and totals exceeding 20 mm that should suppress daytime heating. Subtropical monsoon patterns and elevated humidity levels near 78-82% are expected to limit the daily maximum near 31-33°C, aligning with recent model runs showing highs around 32°C amid overcast skies. This distribution reflects genuine uncertainty in storm timing and intensity, as earlier or lighter rainfall could allow brief clearing and a push toward 34°C, while prolonged downpours favor 31°C or lower. Updated guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles will refine these variables ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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