**Persistent southwest monsoon conditions combined with moderate El Niño effects are positioning 33–34°C as the most probable daily maximum range for Singapore on August 25.** Official Meteorological Service Singapore guidance for the second half of August indicates maxima will most often reach 33–34°C, with occasional peaks near 35°C under the prevailing southeasterly or southwesterly flow and below-average rainfall. Recent observations through mid-August show frequent exceedances of 33°C, including a 34.9°C reading at Pulau Ubin, consistent with above-normal temperature outlooks across the Maritime Continent. Short-range model consensus supports partly cloudy to thundery conditions with limited daytime cooling, keeping the highest temperature anchored near the market’s leading 33°C outcome while leaving modest room for 32°C or 34°C depending on cloud cover and shower timing.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Singapore on August 25?
33°C 54%
32°C 27%
34°C 16%
31°C 4%
29°C or below
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
4%
32°C
27%
33°C
54%
34°C
16%
35°C
2%
36°C
1%
37°C
1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
33°C 54%
32°C 27%
34°C 16%
31°C 4%
29°C or below
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
4%
32°C
27%
33°C
54%
34°C
16%
35°C
2%
36°C
1%
37°C
1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 23, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsssResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsssResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Persistent southwest monsoon conditions combined with moderate El Niño effects are positioning 33–34°C as the most probable daily maximum range for Singapore on August 25.** Official Meteorological Service Singapore guidance for the second half of August indicates maxima will most often reach 33–34°C, with occasional peaks near 35°C under the prevailing southeasterly or southwesterly flow and below-average rainfall. Recent observations through mid-August show frequent exceedances of 33°C, including a 34.9°C reading at Pulau Ubin, consistent with above-normal temperature outlooks across the Maritime Continent. Short-range model consensus supports partly cloudy to thundery conditions with limited daytime cooling, keeping the highest temperature anchored near the market’s leading 33°C outcome while leaving modest room for 32°C or 34°C depending on cloud cover and shower timing.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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