**Current forecast models from sources including the Pakistan Meteorological Department and global ensembles point to a peak temperature near 31°C on August 27, driven by typical late-monsoon conditions with moderate southwesterly sea breezes from the Arabian Sea, high humidity around 60-80%, and partly to mostly cloudy skies limiting daytime heating.** Recent observations show daily highs of 30-32°C amid below-normal rainfall and stable atmospheric pressure near 1005-1007 hPa, with no strong low-pressure systems or monsoon surges expected to push extremes higher or cooler. This consensus across GFS and other runs supports the market's heavy weighting toward 31°C and 32°C outcomes, while the low probabilities for 34°C+ or sub-29°C reflect the narrow historical range and lack of disruptive variables in the short 24-hour window.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Karachi on August 27?
31°C 50%
32°C 34%
33°C 10%
30°C 8%
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
4%
30°C
8%
31°C
50%
32°C
34%
33°C
10%
34°C
3%
35°C
2%
36°C or higher
<1%
31°C 50%
32°C 34%
33°C 10%
30°C 8%
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
4%
30°C
8%
31°C
50%
32°C
34%
33°C
10%
34°C
3%
35°C
2%
36°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 25, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecast models from sources including the Pakistan Meteorological Department and global ensembles point to a peak temperature near 31°C on August 27, driven by typical late-monsoon conditions with moderate southwesterly sea breezes from the Arabian Sea, high humidity around 60-80%, and partly to mostly cloudy skies limiting daytime heating.** Recent observations show daily highs of 30-32°C amid below-normal rainfall and stable atmospheric pressure near 1005-1007 hPa, with no strong low-pressure systems or monsoon surges expected to push extremes higher or cooler. This consensus across GFS and other runs supports the market's heavy weighting toward 31°C and 32°C outcomes, while the low probabilities for 34°C+ or sub-29°C reflect the narrow historical range and lack of disruptive variables in the short 24-hour window.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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