Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate Qingdao will experience mostly cloudy conditions on August 28 with highs centered around 28–30°C, driven by moderate southerly flow, elevated humidity near 70–80%, and limited solar heating under persistent cloud cover. These factors suppress diurnal temperature rises typical of clearer late-summer days along the Yellow Sea coast, where maritime influence further tempers extremes. Current model consensus shows low precipitation chances (10–30%) and no incoming warm advection or frontal systems that would push readings above 31°C or below 28°C. With resolution imminent, trader-implied probabilities for 28–30°C reflect this stable pattern, while lower odds on outliers align with the narrow forecast spread and absence of disruptive developments in the past 48 hours.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Qingdao on August 28?
29°C 46%
30°C 25%
28°C 24%
31°C 14%
25°C or below
3%
26°C
4%
27°C
12%
28°C
24%
29°C
36%
30°C
25%
31°C
14%
32°C
12%
33°C
9%
34°C
2%
35°C or higher
3%
29°C 46%
30°C 25%
28°C 24%
31°C 14%
25°C or below
3%
26°C
4%
27°C
12%
28°C
24%
29°C
36%
30°C
25%
31°C
14%
32°C
12%
33°C
9%
34°C
2%
35°C or higher
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 26, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate Qingdao will experience mostly cloudy conditions on August 28 with highs centered around 28–30°C, driven by moderate southerly flow, elevated humidity near 70–80%, and limited solar heating under persistent cloud cover. These factors suppress diurnal temperature rises typical of clearer late-summer days along the Yellow Sea coast, where maritime influence further tempers extremes. Current model consensus shows low precipitation chances (10–30%) and no incoming warm advection or frontal systems that would push readings above 31°C or below 28°C. With resolution imminent, trader-implied probabilities for 28–30°C reflect this stable pattern, while lower odds on outliers align with the narrow forecast spread and absence of disruptive developments in the past 48 hours.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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