Multiple active tropical cyclones over the Northwest Pacific and South China Sea, including systems like Saudel and Narra, are driving persistent cloud cover, thunderstorms, and heavy rainfall across Guangdong, moderating daytime heating in Guangzhou ahead of August 28. Official forecasts from sources such as the Guangdong Meteorological Bureau and international models show highs clustered between 32–35°C, with precipitation probabilities of 65–85% suppressing peaks below recent August norms near 33°C. Trader consensus around 33–35°C reflects this uncertainty in steering patterns and rainfall intensity, as any breaks in cloud cover could allow brief warming while ongoing moisture from the multi-storm setup favors the lower end of that range. Updated model runs from the China Meteorological Administration will refine these thresholds before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Guangzhou on August 28?
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on August 28?
35°C 28%
34°C 22%
33°C 19%
36°C 15%
NEW
NEW
Aug 28, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
2%
30°C
4%
31°C
8%
32°C
11%
33°C
19%
34°C
22%
35°C
28%
36°C
15%
37°C or higher
5%
35°C 28%
34°C 22%
33°C 19%
36°C 15%
NEW
NEW
Aug 28, 2026
27°C or below
$153 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$153 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$0 Vol.
2%
30°C
$24 Vol.
4%
31°C
$30 Vol.
8%
32°C
$0 Vol.
11%
33°C
$0 Vol.
19%
34°C
$0 Vol.
22%
35°C
$0 Vol.
28%
36°C
$0 Vol.
15%
37°C or higher
$2,308 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Multiple active tropical cyclones over the Northwest Pacific and South China Sea, including systems like Saudel and Narra, are driving persistent cloud cover, thunderstorms, and heavy rainfall across Guangdong, moderating daytime heating in Guangzhou ahead of August 28. Official forecasts from sources such as the Guangdong Meteorological Bureau and international models show highs clustered between 32–35°C, with precipitation probabilities of 65–85% suppressing peaks below recent August norms near 33°C. Trader consensus around 33–35°C reflects this uncertainty in steering patterns and rainfall intensity, as any breaks in cloud cover could allow brief warming while ongoing moisture from the multi-storm setup favors the lower end of that range. Updated model runs from the China Meteorological Administration will refine these thresholds before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 26, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$2,667End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Multiple active tropical cyclones over the Northwest Pacific and South China Sea, including systems like Saudel and Narra, are driving persistent cloud cover, thunderstorms, and heavy rainfall across Guangdong, moderating daytime heating in Guangzhou ahead of August 28. Official forecasts from sources such as the Guangdong Meteorological Bureau and international models show highs clustered between 32–35°C, with precipitation probabilities of 65–85% suppressing peaks below recent August norms near 33°C. Trader consensus around 33–35°C reflects this uncertainty in steering patterns and rainfall intensity, as any breaks in cloud cover could allow brief warming while ongoing moisture from the multi-storm setup favors the lower end of that range. Updated model runs from the China Meteorological Administration will refine these thresholds before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,667End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47De9D...Multiple active tropical cyclones over the Northwest Pacific and South China Sea, including systems like Saudel and Narra, are driving persistent cloud cover, thunderstorms, and heavy rainfall across Guangdong, moderating daytime heating in Guangzhou ahead of August 28. Official forecasts from sources such as the Guangdong Meteorological Bureau and international models show highs clustered between 32–35°C, with precipitation probabilities of 65–85% suppressing peaks below recent August norms near 33°C. Trader consensus around 33–35°C reflects this uncertainty in steering patterns and rainfall intensity, as any breaks in cloud cover could allow brief warming while ongoing moisture from the multi-storm setup favors the lower end of that range. Updated model runs from the China Meteorological Administration will refine these thresholds before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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