**Forecast models and real-time observations position a peak of 27°C as the most probable outcome for Munich’s highest temperature on August 26, 2026.** Multiple sources, including GFS-based forecasts and station data from Munich International Airport, show afternoon temperatures climbing from morning lows near 15–16°C to highs of 26–27°C under partly cloudy skies with light northerly or variable winds. Current mid-day readings around 24–25°C (roughly 75–77°F) align with gradual warming that typically peaks in the early-to-mid afternoon before cloud cover increases and temperatures ease. The strong market weighting toward 27°C (78.5%) reflects this narrow consensus range, while the 17% on 28°C accounts for modest upside if insolation strengthens or local effects push readings slightly higher. Lower probabilities for 26°C or below, and negligible odds for 29°C+, stem from the absence of strong high-pressure ridging or heat advection that would drive exceptional warmth. With the day already well underway and no major model shifts reported in the latest updates, trader sentiment remains anchored to these stable late-summer conditions rather than outlier scenarios.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Munich on August 26?
Highest temperature in Munich on August 26?
27°C 77%
28°C 19%
26°C 8%
25°C <1%
$37,344 Vol.
$37,344 Vol.
Aug 26, 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
8%
27°C
77%
28°C
19%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
27°C 77%
28°C 19%
26°C 8%
25°C <1%
$37,344 Vol.
$37,344 Vol.
Aug 26, 2026
21°C or below
$1,399 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$2,014 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$1,619 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$3,600 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$5,449 Vol.
1%
26°C
$6,391 Vol.
8%
27°C
$7,162 Vol.
77%
28°C
$4,400 Vol.
19%
29°C
$3,431 Vol.
1%
30°C
$1,033 Vol.
<1%
31°C or higher
$847 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models and real-time observations position a peak of 27°C as the most probable outcome for Munich’s highest temperature on August 26, 2026.** Multiple sources, including GFS-based forecasts and station data from Munich International Airport, show afternoon temperatures climbing from morning lows near 15–16°C to highs of 26–27°C under partly cloudy skies with light northerly or variable winds. Current mid-day readings around 24–25°C (roughly 75–77°F) align with gradual warming that typically peaks in the early-to-mid afternoon before cloud cover increases and temperatures ease.
The strong market weighting toward 27°C (78.5%) reflects this narrow consensus range, while the 17% on 28°C accounts for modest upside if insolation strengthens or local effects push readings slightly higher. Lower probabilities for 26°C or below, and negligible odds for 29°C+, stem from the absence of strong high-pressure ridging or heat advection that would drive exceptional warmth. With the day already well underway and no major model shifts reported in the latest updates, trader sentiment remains anchored to these stable late-summer conditions rather than outlier scenarios.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$37,344End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models and real-time observations position a peak of 27°C as the most probable outcome for Munich’s highest temperature on August 26, 2026.** Multiple sources, including GFS-based forecasts and station data from Munich International Airport, show afternoon temperatures climbing from morning lows near 15–16°C to highs of 26–27°C under partly cloudy skies with light northerly or variable winds. Current mid-day readings around 24–25°C (roughly 75–77°F) align with gradual warming that typically peaks in the early-to-mid afternoon before cloud cover increases and temperatures ease.
The strong market weighting toward 27°C (78.5%) reflects this narrow consensus range, while the 17% on 28°C accounts for modest upside if insolation strengthens or local effects push readings slightly higher. Lower probabilities for 26°C or below, and negligible odds for 29°C+, stem from the absence of strong high-pressure ridging or heat advection that would drive exceptional warmth. With the day already well underway and no major model shifts reported in the latest updates, trader sentiment remains anchored to these stable late-summer conditions rather than outlier scenarios.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$37,344End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models and real-time observations position a peak of 27°C as the most probable outcome for Munich’s highest temperature on August 26, 2026.** Multiple sources, including GFS-based forecasts and station data from Munich International Airport, show afternoon temperatures climbing from morning lows near 15–16°C to highs of 26–27°C under partly cloudy skies with light northerly or variable winds. Current mid-day readings around 24–25°C (roughly 75–77°F) align with gradual warming that typically peaks in the early-to-mid afternoon before cloud cover increases and temperatures ease. The strong market weighting toward 27°C (78.5%) reflects this narrow consensus range, while the 17% on 28°C accounts for modest upside if insolation strengthens or local effects push readings slightly higher. Lower probabilities for 26°C or below, and negligible odds for 29°C+, stem from the absence of strong high-pressure ridging or heat advection that would drive exceptional warmth. With the day already well underway and no major model shifts reported in the latest updates, trader sentiment remains anchored to these stable late-summer conditions rather than outlier scenarios.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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