Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Munich overnight lows on August 26 near 13–15°C under partly cloudy skies with light morning showers possible, aligning with the historical August average low of 13°C. Trader sentiment clusters around 12–13°C because reduced cloud cover overnight enables greater radiative cooling, while any increase in humidity, light winds, or lingering moisture from showers limits the drop. Ensemble spreads reflect uncertainty in exact cloud timing and steering patterns, with 8°C or below priced lower due to the low likelihood of strong high-pressure dominance this late in summer. Updated model runs and local observations through the evening will refine the final minimum before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Munich on August 26?
Lowest temperature in Munich on August 26?
8°C or below 57%
18°C or higher 46.6%
12°C 32%
13°C 31%
NEW
NEW
Aug 26, 2026
8°C or below
57%
9°C
3%
10°C
10%
11°C
23%
12°C
32%
13°C
31%
14°C
25%
15°C
9%
16°C
8%
17°C
8%
18°C or higher
47%
8°C or below 57%
18°C or higher 46.6%
12°C 32%
13°C 31%
NEW
NEW
Aug 26, 2026
8°C or below
$5 Vol.
57%
9°C
$0 Vol.
3%
10°C
$6 Vol.
10%
11°C
$0 Vol.
23%
12°C
$0 Vol.
32%
13°C
$0 Vol.
31%
14°C
$0 Vol.
25%
15°C
$0 Vol.
9%
16°C
$70 Vol.
8%
17°C
$15 Vol.
8%
18°C or higher
$0 Vol.
47%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Munich overnight lows on August 26 near 13–15°C under partly cloudy skies with light morning showers possible, aligning with the historical August average low of 13°C. Trader sentiment clusters around 12–13°C because reduced cloud cover overnight enables greater radiative cooling, while any increase in humidity, light winds, or lingering moisture from showers limits the drop. Ensemble spreads reflect uncertainty in exact cloud timing and steering patterns, with 8°C or below priced lower due to the low likelihood of strong high-pressure dominance this late in summer. Updated model runs and local observations through the evening will refine the final minimum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 24, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$96End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Munich overnight lows on August 26 near 13–15°C under partly cloudy skies with light morning showers possible, aligning with the historical August average low of 13°C. Trader sentiment clusters around 12–13°C because reduced cloud cover overnight enables greater radiative cooling, while any increase in humidity, light winds, or lingering moisture from showers limits the drop. Ensemble spreads reflect uncertainty in exact cloud timing and steering patterns, with 8°C or below priced lower due to the low likelihood of strong high-pressure dominance this late in summer. Updated model runs and local observations through the evening will refine the final minimum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$96End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Munich overnight lows on August 26 near 13–15°C under partly cloudy skies with light morning showers possible, aligning with the historical August average low of 13°C. Trader sentiment clusters around 12–13°C because reduced cloud cover overnight enables greater radiative cooling, while any increase in humidity, light winds, or lingering moisture from showers limits the drop. Ensemble spreads reflect uncertainty in exact cloud timing and steering patterns, with 8°C or below priced lower due to the low likelihood of strong high-pressure dominance this late in summer. Updated model runs and local observations through the evening will refine the final minimum before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions