A cold front passage and associated drier air mass are the primary catalysts positioning 66-67°F as the leading implied probability (43%) for Atlanta’s minimum temperature on August 26. National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance indicate overnight lows in the upper 60s to low 70s, with several model runs favoring radiational cooling under partly clear skies after daytime highs near 88–93°F. Typical late-August climatology shows average lows near 69–71°F, so the 66–67°F bin represents a modest but plausible below-normal outcome driven by reduced humidity and lighter winds following the front. Secondary clusters around 70–73°F (52% combined) capture the possibility of lingering moisture or increased cloud cover limiting cooling. Recent 24–48 hour model consensus has tightened around these ranges, with no major revisions from upstream ridging or tropical moisture that would push probabilities toward 63°F or below. Traders are weighting the most recent NWS forecast discussions and ensemble guidance ahead of the overnight period.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Atlanta on August 26?
66-67°F 43%
70-71°F 26%
74-75°F 26%
72-73°F 25%
63°F or below
6%
64-65°F
14%
66-67°F
43%
68-69°F
11%
70-71°F
26%
72-73°F
26%
74-75°F
26%
76-77°F
9%
78-79°F
8%
80-81°F
2%
82°F or higher
6%
66-67°F 43%
70-71°F 26%
74-75°F 26%
72-73°F 25%
63°F or below
6%
64-65°F
14%
66-67°F
43%
68-69°F
11%
70-71°F
26%
72-73°F
26%
74-75°F
26%
76-77°F
9%
78-79°F
8%
80-81°F
2%
82°F or higher
6%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=katl
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 24, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=katlResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=katl
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=katlResolver
0x69c47De9D...A cold front passage and associated drier air mass are the primary catalysts positioning 66-67°F as the leading implied probability (43%) for Atlanta’s minimum temperature on August 26. National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance indicate overnight lows in the upper 60s to low 70s, with several model runs favoring radiational cooling under partly clear skies after daytime highs near 88–93°F. Typical late-August climatology shows average lows near 69–71°F, so the 66–67°F bin represents a modest but plausible below-normal outcome driven by reduced humidity and lighter winds following the front. Secondary clusters around 70–73°F (52% combined) capture the possibility of lingering moisture or increased cloud cover limiting cooling. Recent 24–48 hour model consensus has tightened around these ranges, with no major revisions from upstream ridging or tropical moisture that would push probabilities toward 63°F or below. Traders are weighting the most recent NWS forecast discussions and ensemble guidance ahead of the overnight period.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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