Recent National Weather Service guidance and GFS model consensus forecast a high of 89–92°F for Atlanta on August 24 under mostly sunny skies, light northwest winds of 5–10 mph, and dew points near 60°F that limit heat buildup. This places the outcome squarely in the 90–93°F range, aligning with the market’s heaviest positioning on 92–93°F (51.5%) and 90–91°F (34.5%). Typical late-August climatology averages 88°F, so the slightly above-normal but non-extreme readings reflect stable high pressure and minimal moisture rather than a heat wave. Traders appear to weight the latest model runs and official forecasts most heavily, with limited probability assigned to 94°F+ outcomes absent a sharp model shift before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Atlanta on August 24?
92-93°F 53%
90-91°F 35%
94-95°F 9%
88-89°F 7%
85°F or below
<1%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
7%
90-91°F
35%
92-93°F
53%
94-95°F
9%
96-97°F
1%
98-99°F
1%
100-101°F
<1%
102-103°F
<1%
104°F or higher
<1%
92-93°F 53%
90-91°F 35%
94-95°F 9%
88-89°F 7%
85°F or below
<1%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
7%
90-91°F
35%
92-93°F
53%
94-95°F
9%
96-97°F
1%
98-99°F
1%
100-101°F
<1%
102-103°F
<1%
104°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=katl
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=katlResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=katl
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=katlResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service guidance and GFS model consensus forecast a high of 89–92°F for Atlanta on August 24 under mostly sunny skies, light northwest winds of 5–10 mph, and dew points near 60°F that limit heat buildup. This places the outcome squarely in the 90–93°F range, aligning with the market’s heaviest positioning on 92–93°F (51.5%) and 90–91°F (34.5%). Typical late-August climatology averages 88°F, so the slightly above-normal but non-extreme readings reflect stable high pressure and minimal moisture rather than a heat wave. Traders appear to weight the latest model runs and official forecasts most heavily, with limited probability assigned to 94°F+ outcomes absent a sharp model shift before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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