Recent forecast guidance for Jeddah points to overnight lows near 29–31 °C on August 27, consistent with the tightly bunched market probabilities around those levels. Persistent subtropical high pressure, combined with Red Sea sea-surface temperatures near 31 °C and relative humidity often exceeding 60 %, limits nocturnal radiative cooling and keeps minimums elevated. Light south-westerly winds and minimal cloud cover are expected to allow modest cooling, while any increase in moisture or reduced wind could push readings toward 28 °C or hold them at 32 °C. Historical late-August data show typical minima of 28–30 °C, with rare excursions below 26 °C under unusual synoptic patterns. Updated National Center for Meteorology model runs and local observations over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Jeddah on August 27?
32°C 50%
28°C 49%
29°C 49%
33°C 49%
24°C or below
19%
25°C
8%
26°C
19%
27°C
20%
28°C
49%
29°C
49%
30°C
25%
31°C
26%
32°C
50%
33°C
49%
34°C or higher
2%
32°C 50%
28°C 49%
29°C 49%
33°C 49%
24°C or below
19%
25°C
8%
26°C
19%
27°C
20%
28°C
49%
29°C
49%
30°C
25%
31°C
26%
32°C
50%
33°C
49%
34°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 25, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejnResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejnResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast guidance for Jeddah points to overnight lows near 29–31 °C on August 27, consistent with the tightly bunched market probabilities around those levels. Persistent subtropical high pressure, combined with Red Sea sea-surface temperatures near 31 °C and relative humidity often exceeding 60 %, limits nocturnal radiative cooling and keeps minimums elevated. Light south-westerly winds and minimal cloud cover are expected to allow modest cooling, while any increase in moisture or reduced wind could push readings toward 28 °C or hold them at 32 °C. Historical late-August data show typical minima of 28–30 °C, with rare excursions below 26 °C under unusual synoptic patterns. Updated National Center for Meteorology model runs and local observations over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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