Recent forecasts from meteorological models position 31–32°C as the leading outcomes for Shanghai’s daily maximum on August 25, consistent with late-summer subtropical patterns under the East Asian monsoon regime. Current conditions show highs near 31°C with scattered showers and high humidity moderating peak values, while ensemble guidance indicates limited intensification potential absent a strong subtropical ridge or clear-sky setup. Historical August averages of 30–32°C provide baseline context, and the absence of incoming cold fronts or typhoon influences supports trader consensus around these narrow thresholds. Updated runs from agencies such as the Shanghai Meteorological Observatory and global models will refine probabilities ahead of the 48-hour window.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Shanghai on August 25?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on August 25?
31°C 47%
32°C 32%
30°C 12%
33°C 6%
NEW
NEW
Aug 25, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
5%
30°C
12%
31°C
47%
32°C
32%
33°C
6%
34°C
2%
35°C or higher
1%
31°C 47%
32°C 32%
30°C 12%
33°C 6%
NEW
NEW
Aug 25, 2026
25°C or below
$260 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$110 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$0 Vol.
1%
28°C
$0 Vol.
1%
29°C
$30 Vol.
5%
30°C
$212 Vol.
12%
31°C
$611 Vol.
47%
32°C
$657 Vol.
32%
33°C
$16 Vol.
6%
34°C
$10 Vol.
2%
35°C or higher
$0 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from meteorological models position 31–32°C as the leading outcomes for Shanghai’s daily maximum on August 25, consistent with late-summer subtropical patterns under the East Asian monsoon regime. Current conditions show highs near 31°C with scattered showers and high humidity moderating peak values, while ensemble guidance indicates limited intensification potential absent a strong subtropical ridge or clear-sky setup. Historical August averages of 30–32°C provide baseline context, and the absence of incoming cold fronts or typhoon influences supports trader consensus around these narrow thresholds. Updated runs from agencies such as the Shanghai Meteorological Observatory and global models will refine probabilities ahead of the 48-hour window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$1,906End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from meteorological models position 31–32°C as the leading outcomes for Shanghai’s daily maximum on August 25, consistent with late-summer subtropical patterns under the East Asian monsoon regime. Current conditions show highs near 31°C with scattered showers and high humidity moderating peak values, while ensemble guidance indicates limited intensification potential absent a strong subtropical ridge or clear-sky setup. Historical August averages of 30–32°C provide baseline context, and the absence of incoming cold fronts or typhoon influences supports trader consensus around these narrow thresholds. Updated runs from agencies such as the Shanghai Meteorological Observatory and global models will refine probabilities ahead of the 48-hour window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,906End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from meteorological models position 31–32°C as the leading outcomes for Shanghai’s daily maximum on August 25, consistent with late-summer subtropical patterns under the East Asian monsoon regime. Current conditions show highs near 31°C with scattered showers and high humidity moderating peak values, while ensemble guidance indicates limited intensification potential absent a strong subtropical ridge or clear-sky setup. Historical August averages of 30–32°C provide baseline context, and the absence of incoming cold fronts or typhoon influences supports trader consensus around these narrow thresholds. Updated runs from agencies such as the Shanghai Meteorological Observatory and global models will refine probabilities ahead of the 48-hour window.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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