Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate Shanghai overnight lows on August 24 will likely range from 25–28°C, driven by persistent subtropical monsoon humidity, light winds, and variable cloud cover or drizzle that limits radiative cooling. Model consensus shows minimums clustering near 27°C amid a stable late-summer pattern with no strong cold fronts or clear-sky extremes expected. Trader positioning reflects this tight clustering around 27°C (50.5% implied probability), with adjacent outcomes at 26°C and 28°C capturing residual model spread; upcoming refined model runs and local observations over the next 48 hours could shift probabilities if precipitation timing or wind patterns change.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Shanghai on August 24?
Lowest temperature in Shanghai on August 24?
27°C 53%
28°C 36%
29°C 14%
26°C 13%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
22°C or below
4%
23°C
5%
24°C
7%
25°C
6%
26°C
13%
27°C
51%
28°C
19%
29°C
14%
30°C
2%
31°C
7%
32°C or higher
4%
27°C 53%
28°C 36%
29°C 14%
26°C 13%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
22°C or below
$5 Vol.
4%
23°C
$5 Vol.
5%
24°C
$92 Vol.
7%
25°C
$0 Vol.
6%
26°C
$40 Vol.
13%
27°C
$77 Vol.
51%
28°C
$6 Vol.
19%
29°C
$14 Vol.
14%
30°C
$5 Vol.
2%
31°C
$5 Vol.
7%
32°C or higher
$5 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate Shanghai overnight lows on August 24 will likely range from 25–28°C, driven by persistent subtropical monsoon humidity, light winds, and variable cloud cover or drizzle that limits radiative cooling. Model consensus shows minimums clustering near 27°C amid a stable late-summer pattern with no strong cold fronts or clear-sky extremes expected. Trader positioning reflects this tight clustering around 27°C (50.5% implied probability), with adjacent outcomes at 26°C and 28°C capturing residual model spread; upcoming refined model runs and local observations over the next 48 hours could shift probabilities if precipitation timing or wind patterns change.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$162End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate Shanghai overnight lows on August 24 will likely range from 25–28°C, driven by persistent subtropical monsoon humidity, light winds, and variable cloud cover or drizzle that limits radiative cooling. Model consensus shows minimums clustering near 27°C amid a stable late-summer pattern with no strong cold fronts or clear-sky extremes expected. Trader positioning reflects this tight clustering around 27°C (50.5% implied probability), with adjacent outcomes at 26°C and 28°C capturing residual model spread; upcoming refined model runs and local observations over the next 48 hours could shift probabilities if precipitation timing or wind patterns change.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$162End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate Shanghai overnight lows on August 24 will likely range from 25–28°C, driven by persistent subtropical monsoon humidity, light winds, and variable cloud cover or drizzle that limits radiative cooling. Model consensus shows minimums clustering near 27°C amid a stable late-summer pattern with no strong cold fronts or clear-sky extremes expected. Trader positioning reflects this tight clustering around 27°C (50.5% implied probability), with adjacent outcomes at 26°C and 28°C capturing residual model spread; upcoming refined model runs and local observations over the next 48 hours could shift probabilities if precipitation timing or wind patterns change.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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