Forecast models from sources like GFS and ECMWF indicate a modest warming trend into August 25 with highs likely reaching 26–28°C under partly cloudy skies and southerly flow, though increasing moisture and a 40–60% chance of afternoon thunderstorms could limit peak heating through reduced insolation and evaporative cooling. Current conditions on August 23 show stable high pressure and lighter northeasterly winds keeping temperatures near seasonal norms of 24–25°C, while ensemble spreads highlight sensitivity to exact cloud timing and boundary-layer moisture. This uncertainty underpins the tight market clustering around 26–28°C, with resolution hinging on official Météo-France observations and potential late-day convective development.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Paris on August 25?
Highest temperature in Paris on August 25?
27°C 32%
26°C 24%
28°C 19%
25°C 10%
NEW
NEW
Aug 25, 2026
22°C or below
1%
23°C
2%
24°C
3%
25°C
10%
26°C
24%
27°C
32%
28°C
19%
29°C
7%
30°C
2%
31°C
2%
32°C or higher
2%
27°C 32%
26°C 24%
28°C 19%
25°C 10%
NEW
NEW
Aug 25, 2026
22°C or below
$61 Vol.
1%
23°C
$13 Vol.
2%
24°C
$15 Vol.
3%
25°C
$205 Vol.
10%
26°C
$333 Vol.
24%
27°C
$336 Vol.
32%
28°C
$298 Vol.
19%
29°C
$67 Vol.
7%
30°C
$44 Vol.
2%
31°C
$25 Vol.
2%
32°C or higher
$5 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources like GFS and ECMWF indicate a modest warming trend into August 25 with highs likely reaching 26–28°C under partly cloudy skies and southerly flow, though increasing moisture and a 40–60% chance of afternoon thunderstorms could limit peak heating through reduced insolation and evaporative cooling. Current conditions on August 23 show stable high pressure and lighter northeasterly winds keeping temperatures near seasonal norms of 24–25°C, while ensemble spreads highlight sensitivity to exact cloud timing and boundary-layer moisture. This uncertainty underpins the tight market clustering around 26–28°C, with resolution hinging on official Météo-France observations and potential late-day convective development.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$1,403End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources like GFS and ECMWF indicate a modest warming trend into August 25 with highs likely reaching 26–28°C under partly cloudy skies and southerly flow, though increasing moisture and a 40–60% chance of afternoon thunderstorms could limit peak heating through reduced insolation and evaporative cooling. Current conditions on August 23 show stable high pressure and lighter northeasterly winds keeping temperatures near seasonal norms of 24–25°C, while ensemble spreads highlight sensitivity to exact cloud timing and boundary-layer moisture. This uncertainty underpins the tight market clustering around 26–28°C, with resolution hinging on official Météo-France observations and potential late-day convective development.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,403End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources like GFS and ECMWF indicate a modest warming trend into August 25 with highs likely reaching 26–28°C under partly cloudy skies and southerly flow, though increasing moisture and a 40–60% chance of afternoon thunderstorms could limit peak heating through reduced insolation and evaporative cooling. Current conditions on August 23 show stable high pressure and lighter northeasterly winds keeping temperatures near seasonal norms of 24–25°C, while ensemble spreads highlight sensitivity to exact cloud timing and boundary-layer moisture. This uncertainty underpins the tight market clustering around 26–28°C, with resolution hinging on official Météo-France observations and potential late-day convective development.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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