Recent National Weather Service and model guidance point to a highest temperature near 69–71 °F in San Francisco on August 24, reflecting a persistent marine layer and moderate onshore flow that typically limits afternoon warming along the immediate coast. Seasonal August averages hover around 70 °F, but variable low-cloud cover and the strength of the westerly breeze introduce enough uncertainty to keep the 68–69 °F and 72–73 °F outcomes closely competitive with the leading bin. Forecasters note that any temporary offshore component or reduced marine intrusion could briefly push readings higher, while thicker stratus would favor the cooler side of the distribution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in San Francisco on August 24?
Highest temperature in San Francisco on August 24?
70-71°F 32%
68-69°F 27%
72-73°F 20%
66-67°F 15%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
63°F or below
2%
64-65°F
7%
66-67°F
15%
68-69°F
27%
70-71°F
32%
72-73°F
20%
74-75°F
7%
76-77°F
5%
78-79°F
2%
80-81°F
4%
82°F or higher
<1%
70-71°F 32%
68-69°F 27%
72-73°F 20%
66-67°F 15%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
63°F or below
$37 Vol.
2%
64-65°F
$120 Vol.
7%
66-67°F
$20 Vol.
15%
68-69°F
$72 Vol.
27%
70-71°F
$103 Vol.
32%
72-73°F
$23 Vol.
20%
74-75°F
$249 Vol.
7%
76-77°F
$208 Vol.
5%
78-79°F
$65 Vol.
2%
80-81°F
$5 Vol.
4%
82°F or higher
$95 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance point to a highest temperature near 69–71 °F in San Francisco on August 24, reflecting a persistent marine layer and moderate onshore flow that typically limits afternoon warming along the immediate coast. Seasonal August averages hover around 70 °F, but variable low-cloud cover and the strength of the westerly breeze introduce enough uncertainty to keep the 68–69 °F and 72–73 °F outcomes closely competitive with the leading bin. Forecasters note that any temporary offshore component or reduced marine intrusion could briefly push readings higher, while thicker stratus would favor the cooler side of the distribution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
Volume
$998End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 8:57 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance point to a highest temperature near 69–71 °F in San Francisco on August 24, reflecting a persistent marine layer and moderate onshore flow that typically limits afternoon warming along the immediate coast. Seasonal August averages hover around 70 °F, but variable low-cloud cover and the strength of the westerly breeze introduce enough uncertainty to keep the 68–69 °F and 72–73 °F outcomes closely competitive with the leading bin. Forecasters note that any temporary offshore component or reduced marine intrusion could briefly push readings higher, while thicker stratus would favor the cooler side of the distribution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$998End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 8:57 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and model guidance point to a highest temperature near 69–71 °F in San Francisco on August 24, reflecting a persistent marine layer and moderate onshore flow that typically limits afternoon warming along the immediate coast. Seasonal August averages hover around 70 °F, but variable low-cloud cover and the strength of the westerly breeze introduce enough uncertainty to keep the 68–69 °F and 72–73 °F outcomes closely competitive with the leading bin. Forecasters note that any temporary offshore component or reduced marine intrusion could briefly push readings higher, while thicker stratus would favor the cooler side of the distribution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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