Recent forecasts and climatological data position the 58–59°F range as the leading outcome for San Francisco’s August 24 low, aligning with the city’s typical late-summer overnight minimum near 57°F driven by the persistent marine layer and onshore flow from the Pacific. A stable weather pattern featuring a low-pressure system offshore and high pressure inland has produced remarkably consistent temperatures in the mid- to upper 60s for highs over recent days, limiting variance and supporting probabilities clustered around seasonal norms. Stronger fog or enhanced onshore winds could push readings into the low 50s or below, while any weakening of the marine influence might allow slightly warmer minima. National Weather Service model updates through the next 24 hours will provide the key data for refining these implied probabilities.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in San Francisco on August 24?
58-59°F 47%
49°F or below 41%
68°F or higher 41%
60-61°F 22%
49°F or below
41%
50-51°F
14%
52-53°F
14%
54-55°F
10%
56-57°F
19%
58-59°F
47%
60-61°F
22%
62-63°F
14%
64-65°F
9%
66-67°F
1%
68°F or higher
41%
58-59°F 47%
49°F or below 41%
68°F or higher 41%
60-61°F 22%
49°F or below
41%
50-51°F
14%
52-53°F
14%
54-55°F
10%
56-57°F
19%
58-59°F
47%
60-61°F
22%
62-63°F
14%
64-65°F
9%
66-67°F
1%
68°F or higher
41%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts and climatological data position the 58–59°F range as the leading outcome for San Francisco’s August 24 low, aligning with the city’s typical late-summer overnight minimum near 57°F driven by the persistent marine layer and onshore flow from the Pacific. A stable weather pattern featuring a low-pressure system offshore and high pressure inland has produced remarkably consistent temperatures in the mid- to upper 60s for highs over recent days, limiting variance and supporting probabilities clustered around seasonal norms. Stronger fog or enhanced onshore winds could push readings into the low 50s or below, while any weakening of the marine influence might allow slightly warmer minima. National Weather Service model updates through the next 24 hours will provide the key data for refining these implied probabilities.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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