Current forecasts for Karachi on August 27 point to overnight lows near 26–27°C, aligning with the closely matched market-implied odds around those levels and typical late-August climatology. Primary drivers include the Arabian Sea's moderating influence via sea breezes, high humidity limiting radiative cooling, and variable cloud cover or scattered showers that can suppress or slightly elevate minimums. Model consensus from agencies shows stable conditions with highs near 30–33°C and limited diurnal range, though minor shifts in wind direction or timing of any monsoon activity could differentiate exact readings by 1–2°C. Traders appear to price in this inherent forecast uncertainty and measurement variability at official stations rather than expecting deviations from historical baselines.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Karachi on August 27?
32°C or higher 50%
24°C 49%
25°C 49%
29°C 49%
22°C or below
26%
23°C
19%
24°C
49%
25°C
49%
26°C
26%
27°C
26%
28°C
25%
29°C
49%
30°C
49%
31°C
39%
32°C or higher
50%
32°C or higher 50%
24°C 49%
25°C 49%
29°C 49%
22°C or below
26%
23°C
19%
24°C
49%
25°C
49%
26°C
26%
27°C
26%
28°C
25%
29°C
49%
30°C
49%
31°C
39%
32°C or higher
50%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 25, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts for Karachi on August 27 point to overnight lows near 26–27°C, aligning with the closely matched market-implied odds around those levels and typical late-August climatology. Primary drivers include the Arabian Sea's moderating influence via sea breezes, high humidity limiting radiative cooling, and variable cloud cover or scattered showers that can suppress or slightly elevate minimums. Model consensus from agencies shows stable conditions with highs near 30–33°C and limited diurnal range, though minor shifts in wind direction or timing of any monsoon activity could differentiate exact readings by 1–2°C. Traders appear to price in this inherent forecast uncertainty and measurement variability at official stations rather than expecting deviations from historical baselines.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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