**Current forecast consensus from meteorological sources points to a minimum temperature near 26–27°C in Karachi on August 25, reflecting typical late-monsoon conditions moderated by the Arabian Sea.** Multiple models, including those aligned with Pakistan Meteorological Department guidance, show overnight lows stabilizing around 26°C amid partly cloudy skies, southwesterly winds of 10–15 mph, and low precipitation chances (under 10–20%). Recent light drizzle on August 22 has introduced slightly elevated humidity (75–85%) and cloud cover, which can limit nocturnal radiative cooling and support slightly higher minima than drier historical analogs. **The near-even market split between 22°C or below and 32°C or higher at 49% each highlights genuine short-term forecast uncertainty this close to the event.** Key differentiating factors include potential shifts in wind patterns, localized cloud bursts, or subtle changes in sea-surface temperatures that could either enhance cooling (pushing the low lower) or trap heat (raising it). Historical data for late August show typical diurnal ranges of roughly 26–32°C, with extremes rarer without major monsoon surges. Traders appear to be weighting the possibility of model divergence or unforecasted moisture in the 48-hour window ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Karachi on August 25?
Lowest temperature in Karachi on August 25?
22°C or below 95%
32°C or higher 93%
23°C 48%
29°C 48%
NEW
NEW
Aug 25, 2026
22°C or below
95%
23°C
48%
24°C
25%
25°C
25%
26°C
27%
27°C
27%
28°C
26%
29°C
48%
30°C
48%
31°C
48%
32°C or higher
93%
22°C or below 95%
32°C or higher 93%
23°C 48%
29°C 48%
NEW
NEW
Aug 25, 2026
22°C or below
$5 Vol.
95%
23°C
$5 Vol.
48%
24°C
$0 Vol.
25%
25°C
$0 Vol.
25%
26°C
$0 Vol.
27%
27°C
$0 Vol.
27%
28°C
$0 Vol.
26%
29°C
$5 Vol.
48%
30°C
$5 Vol.
48%
31°C
$5 Vol.
48%
32°C or higher
$5 Vol.
93%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecast consensus from meteorological sources points to a minimum temperature near 26–27°C in Karachi on August 25, reflecting typical late-monsoon conditions moderated by the Arabian Sea.** Multiple models, including those aligned with Pakistan Meteorological Department guidance, show overnight lows stabilizing around 26°C amid partly cloudy skies, southwesterly winds of 10–15 mph, and low precipitation chances (under 10–20%). Recent light drizzle on August 22 has introduced slightly elevated humidity (75–85%) and cloud cover, which can limit nocturnal radiative cooling and support slightly higher minima than drier historical analogs.
**The near-even market split between 22°C or below and 32°C or higher at 49% each highlights genuine short-term forecast uncertainty this close to the event.** Key differentiating factors include potential shifts in wind patterns, localized cloud bursts, or subtle changes in sea-surface temperatures that could either enhance cooling (pushing the low lower) or trap heat (raising it). Historical data for late August show typical diurnal ranges of roughly 26–32°C, with extremes rarer without major monsoon surges. Traders appear to be weighting the possibility of model divergence or unforecasted moisture in the 48-hour window ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 23, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Volume
$30End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 12:32 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecast consensus from meteorological sources points to a minimum temperature near 26–27°C in Karachi on August 25, reflecting typical late-monsoon conditions moderated by the Arabian Sea.** Multiple models, including those aligned with Pakistan Meteorological Department guidance, show overnight lows stabilizing around 26°C amid partly cloudy skies, southwesterly winds of 10–15 mph, and low precipitation chances (under 10–20%). Recent light drizzle on August 22 has introduced slightly elevated humidity (75–85%) and cloud cover, which can limit nocturnal radiative cooling and support slightly higher minima than drier historical analogs.
**The near-even market split between 22°C or below and 32°C or higher at 49% each highlights genuine short-term forecast uncertainty this close to the event.** Key differentiating factors include potential shifts in wind patterns, localized cloud bursts, or subtle changes in sea-surface temperatures that could either enhance cooling (pushing the low lower) or trap heat (raising it). Historical data for late August show typical diurnal ranges of roughly 26–32°C, with extremes rarer without major monsoon surges. Traders appear to be weighting the possibility of model divergence or unforecasted moisture in the 48-hour window ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$30End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 12:32 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecast consensus from meteorological sources points to a minimum temperature near 26–27°C in Karachi on August 25, reflecting typical late-monsoon conditions moderated by the Arabian Sea.** Multiple models, including those aligned with Pakistan Meteorological Department guidance, show overnight lows stabilizing around 26°C amid partly cloudy skies, southwesterly winds of 10–15 mph, and low precipitation chances (under 10–20%). Recent light drizzle on August 22 has introduced slightly elevated humidity (75–85%) and cloud cover, which can limit nocturnal radiative cooling and support slightly higher minima than drier historical analogs. **The near-even market split between 22°C or below and 32°C or higher at 49% each highlights genuine short-term forecast uncertainty this close to the event.** Key differentiating factors include potential shifts in wind patterns, localized cloud bursts, or subtle changes in sea-surface temperatures that could either enhance cooling (pushing the low lower) or trap heat (raising it). Historical data for late August show typical diurnal ranges of roughly 26–32°C, with extremes rarer without major monsoon surges. Traders appear to be weighting the possibility of model divergence or unforecasted moisture in the 48-hour window ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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