Recent official forecasts from the Pakistan Meteorological Department and global models converge on a minimum temperature of 27°C for Karachi on August 23, driven by persistent southwest monsoon flows, high humidity near 80%, and widespread cloud cover that limits overnight radiative cooling. Historical August averages place typical overnight lows at 26–27°C, with recent observations showing minima consistently in the 27–28°C range amid stable atmospheric conditions and no incoming systems expected to alter this pattern. Market-implied odds reflect this model consensus, with 27°C as the clear frontrunner while lower probabilities for 26°C or 28°C account for minor forecast variability or localized microclimate effects near measurement stations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Karachi on August 23?
Lowest temperature in Karachi on August 23?
27°C 58%
28°C 21%
29°C 19%
26°C 17%
NEW
NEW
Aug 23, 2026
22°C or below
1%
23°C
3%
24°C
7%
25°C
8%
26°C
17%
27°C
51%
28°C
21%
29°C
19%
30°C
7%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
<1%
27°C 58%
28°C 21%
29°C 19%
26°C 17%
NEW
NEW
Aug 23, 2026
22°C or below
$37 Vol.
1%
23°C
$21 Vol.
3%
24°C
$34 Vol.
7%
25°C
$30 Vol.
8%
26°C
$0 Vol.
17%
27°C
$114 Vol.
51%
28°C
$0 Vol.
21%
29°C
$0 Vol.
19%
30°C
$27 Vol.
7%
31°C
$27 Vol.
1%
32°C or higher
$37 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from the Pakistan Meteorological Department and global models converge on a minimum temperature of 27°C for Karachi on August 23, driven by persistent southwest monsoon flows, high humidity near 80%, and widespread cloud cover that limits overnight radiative cooling. Historical August averages place typical overnight lows at 26–27°C, with recent observations showing minima consistently in the 27–28°C range amid stable atmospheric conditions and no incoming systems expected to alter this pattern. Market-implied odds reflect this model consensus, with 27°C as the clear frontrunner while lower probabilities for 26°C or 28°C account for minor forecast variability or localized microclimate effects near measurement stations.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 21, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$327End Date
Aug 23, 2026Market Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from the Pakistan Meteorological Department and global models converge on a minimum temperature of 27°C for Karachi on August 23, driven by persistent southwest monsoon flows, high humidity near 80%, and widespread cloud cover that limits overnight radiative cooling. Historical August averages place typical overnight lows at 26–27°C, with recent observations showing minima consistently in the 27–28°C range amid stable atmospheric conditions and no incoming systems expected to alter this pattern. Market-implied odds reflect this model consensus, with 27°C as the clear frontrunner while lower probabilities for 26°C or 28°C account for minor forecast variability or localized microclimate effects near measurement stations.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$327End Date
Aug 23, 2026Market Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from the Pakistan Meteorological Department and global models converge on a minimum temperature of 27°C for Karachi on August 23, driven by persistent southwest monsoon flows, high humidity near 80%, and widespread cloud cover that limits overnight radiative cooling. Historical August averages place typical overnight lows at 26–27°C, with recent observations showing minima consistently in the 27–28°C range amid stable atmospheric conditions and no incoming systems expected to alter this pattern. Market-implied odds reflect this model consensus, with 27°C as the clear frontrunner while lower probabilities for 26°C or 28°C account for minor forecast variability or localized microclimate effects near measurement stations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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