Official forecasts from the Pakistan Meteorological Department and global models converge on overnight lows of 26–27°C for Karachi on August 22, driven by persistent high humidity near 80–85%, extensive cloud cover, and moderate southwest monsoon winds that limit radiative cooling. These conditions, typical for coastal Sindh in late August, keep minimum temperatures above seasonal baselines amid stable atmospheric pressure around 1003–1004 hPa. Recent model runs show minimal disagreement, with isolated drizzle possible but insufficient to alter the thermal profile. Trader consensus, reflected in the 54% implied probability for 27°C, aligns closely with this observational and forecast consensus, while probabilities for 26°C and 28°C capture remaining model spread ahead of final resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Karachi on August 22?
Lowest temperature in Karachi on August 22?
26°C 25%
28°C 24%
25°C 9%
29°C 7%
NEW
NEW
Aug 22, 2026
22°C or below
1%
23°C
3%
24°C
7%
25°C
9%
26°C
25%
27°C
38%
28°C
24%
29°C
7%
30°C
2%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
1%
26°C 25%
28°C 24%
25°C 9%
29°C 7%
NEW
NEW
Aug 22, 2026
22°C or below
$20 Vol.
1%
23°C
$25 Vol.
3%
24°C
$96 Vol.
7%
25°C
$15 Vol.
9%
26°C
$15 Vol.
25%
27°C
$78 Vol.
38%
28°C
$27 Vol.
24%
29°C
$5 Vol.
7%
30°C
$85 Vol.
2%
31°C
$25 Vol.
1%
32°C or higher
$25 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the Pakistan Meteorological Department and global models converge on overnight lows of 26–27°C for Karachi on August 22, driven by persistent high humidity near 80–85%, extensive cloud cover, and moderate southwest monsoon winds that limit radiative cooling. These conditions, typical for coastal Sindh in late August, keep minimum temperatures above seasonal baselines amid stable atmospheric pressure around 1003–1004 hPa. Recent model runs show minimal disagreement, with isolated drizzle possible but insufficient to alter the thermal profile. Trader consensus, reflected in the 54% implied probability for 27°C, aligns closely with this observational and forecast consensus, while probabilities for 26°C and 28°C capture remaining model spread ahead of final resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 20, 2026, 1:34 PM ET
Volume
$416End Date
Aug 22, 2026Market Opened
Aug 20, 2026, 1:34 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the Pakistan Meteorological Department and global models converge on overnight lows of 26–27°C for Karachi on August 22, driven by persistent high humidity near 80–85%, extensive cloud cover, and moderate southwest monsoon winds that limit radiative cooling. These conditions, typical for coastal Sindh in late August, keep minimum temperatures above seasonal baselines amid stable atmospheric pressure around 1003–1004 hPa. Recent model runs show minimal disagreement, with isolated drizzle possible but insufficient to alter the thermal profile. Trader consensus, reflected in the 54% implied probability for 27°C, aligns closely with this observational and forecast consensus, while probabilities for 26°C and 28°C capture remaining model spread ahead of final resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$416End Date
Aug 22, 2026Market Opened
Aug 20, 2026, 1:34 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from the Pakistan Meteorological Department and global models converge on overnight lows of 26–27°C for Karachi on August 22, driven by persistent high humidity near 80–85%, extensive cloud cover, and moderate southwest monsoon winds that limit radiative cooling. These conditions, typical for coastal Sindh in late August, keep minimum temperatures above seasonal baselines amid stable atmospheric pressure around 1003–1004 hPa. Recent model runs show minimal disagreement, with isolated drizzle possible but insufficient to alter the thermal profile. Trader consensus, reflected in the 54% implied probability for 27°C, aligns closely with this observational and forecast consensus, while probabilities for 26°C and 28°C capture remaining model spread ahead of final resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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