Recent forecasts from global models and local agencies converge on minimum temperatures of 26–27°C for Karachi on August 26, driven by typical late-monsoon conditions with moderate southwest winds, high humidity near 70%, and partly cloudy skies limiting nocturnal radiative cooling. Historical August averages place overnight lows around 26–27°C, with recent observations showing similar values amid stable atmospheric pressure. The market's closely matched probabilities across 26–27°C and lower outliers reflect uncertainty in precise boundary-layer mixing and urban heat island effects, which can shift the recorded minimum by 1–2°C depending on exact wind speed and cloud timing. Traders weigh these variables against official meteorological guidance ahead of the day's resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Karachi on August 26?
Lowest temperature in Karachi on August 26?
21°C or below 47%
31°C or higher 47%
23°C 44%
24°C 44%
NEW
NEW
Aug 26, 2026
21°C or below
47%
22°C
16%
23°C
44%
24°C
44%
25°C
44%
26°C
26%
27°C
26%
28°C
23%
29°C
44%
30°C
19%
31°C or higher
47%
21°C or below 47%
31°C or higher 47%
23°C 44%
24°C 44%
NEW
NEW
Aug 26, 2026
21°C or below
$0 Vol.
47%
22°C
$0 Vol.
16%
23°C
$0 Vol.
44%
24°C
$0 Vol.
44%
25°C
$0 Vol.
44%
26°C
$0 Vol.
26%
27°C
$0 Vol.
26%
28°C
$0 Vol.
23%
29°C
$0 Vol.
44%
30°C
$0 Vol.
19%
31°C or higher
$0 Vol.
47%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from global models and local agencies converge on minimum temperatures of 26–27°C for Karachi on August 26, driven by typical late-monsoon conditions with moderate southwest winds, high humidity near 70%, and partly cloudy skies limiting nocturnal radiative cooling. Historical August averages place overnight lows around 26–27°C, with recent observations showing similar values amid stable atmospheric pressure. The market's closely matched probabilities across 26–27°C and lower outliers reflect uncertainty in precise boundary-layer mixing and urban heat island effects, which can shift the recorded minimum by 1–2°C depending on exact wind speed and cloud timing. Traders weigh these variables against official meteorological guidance ahead of the day's resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 24, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Volume
$0End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 12:32 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from global models and local agencies converge on minimum temperatures of 26–27°C for Karachi on August 26, driven by typical late-monsoon conditions with moderate southwest winds, high humidity near 70%, and partly cloudy skies limiting nocturnal radiative cooling. Historical August averages place overnight lows around 26–27°C, with recent observations showing similar values amid stable atmospheric pressure. The market's closely matched probabilities across 26–27°C and lower outliers reflect uncertainty in precise boundary-layer mixing and urban heat island effects, which can shift the recorded minimum by 1–2°C depending on exact wind speed and cloud timing. Traders weigh these variables against official meteorological guidance ahead of the day's resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 12:32 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from global models and local agencies converge on minimum temperatures of 26–27°C for Karachi on August 26, driven by typical late-monsoon conditions with moderate southwest winds, high humidity near 70%, and partly cloudy skies limiting nocturnal radiative cooling. Historical August averages place overnight lows around 26–27°C, with recent observations showing similar values amid stable atmospheric pressure. The market's closely matched probabilities across 26–27°C and lower outliers reflect uncertainty in precise boundary-layer mixing and urban heat island effects, which can shift the recorded minimum by 1–2°C depending on exact wind speed and cloud timing. Traders weigh these variables against official meteorological guidance ahead of the day's resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions