Recent forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and other models indicate a daily minimum near 23°C for Busan on August 27, supporting the slight edge for 23°C or below in trader pricing. Key differentiating factors include overnight radiative cooling rates under variable cloud cover, with clearer skies allowing greater heat loss versus overcast conditions that retain warmth, alongside wind speeds that enhance mixing and moderate lows. Coastal marine influences from the East Sea and typical August humidity levels around 70-80% further limit temperature drops, while any strengthening sea breezes or passing frontal systems could push minima higher toward 25-27°C. Model consensus remains tight this close to the date, with traders weighing subtle shifts in ensemble runs for the final resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Busan on August 27?
Lowest temperature in Busan on August 27?
23°C or below 92%
25°C 87%
33°C or higher 58%
24°C 49%
NEW
NEW
Aug 27, 2026
23°C or below
92%
24°C
49%
25°C
87%
26°C
45%
27°C
46%
28°C
44%
29°C
49%
30°C
44%
31°C
2%
32°C
8%
33°C or higher
58%
23°C or below 92%
25°C 87%
33°C or higher 58%
24°C 49%
NEW
NEW
Aug 27, 2026
23°C or below
$0 Vol.
92%
24°C
$0 Vol.
49%
25°C
$0 Vol.
87%
26°C
$0 Vol.
45%
27°C
$0 Vol.
46%
28°C
$0 Vol.
44%
29°C
$0 Vol.
49%
30°C
$0 Vol.
44%
31°C
$0 Vol.
2%
32°C
$0 Vol.
8%
33°C or higher
$0 Vol.
58%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and other models indicate a daily minimum near 23°C for Busan on August 27, supporting the slight edge for 23°C or below in trader pricing. Key differentiating factors include overnight radiative cooling rates under variable cloud cover, with clearer skies allowing greater heat loss versus overcast conditions that retain warmth, alongside wind speeds that enhance mixing and moderate lows. Coastal marine influences from the East Sea and typical August humidity levels around 70-80% further limit temperature drops, while any strengthening sea breezes or passing frontal systems could push minima higher toward 25-27°C. Model consensus remains tight this close to the date, with traders weighing subtle shifts in ensemble runs for the final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 25, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$0End Date
Aug 27, 2026Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and other models indicate a daily minimum near 23°C for Busan on August 27, supporting the slight edge for 23°C or below in trader pricing. Key differentiating factors include overnight radiative cooling rates under variable cloud cover, with clearer skies allowing greater heat loss versus overcast conditions that retain warmth, alongside wind speeds that enhance mixing and moderate lows. Coastal marine influences from the East Sea and typical August humidity levels around 70-80% further limit temperature drops, while any strengthening sea breezes or passing frontal systems could push minima higher toward 25-27°C. Model consensus remains tight this close to the date, with traders weighing subtle shifts in ensemble runs for the final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0End Date
Aug 27, 2026Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and other models indicate a daily minimum near 23°C for Busan on August 27, supporting the slight edge for 23°C or below in trader pricing. Key differentiating factors include overnight radiative cooling rates under variable cloud cover, with clearer skies allowing greater heat loss versus overcast conditions that retain warmth, alongside wind speeds that enhance mixing and moderate lows. Coastal marine influences from the East Sea and typical August humidity levels around 70-80% further limit temperature drops, while any strengthening sea breezes or passing frontal systems could push minima higher toward 25-27°C. Model consensus remains tight this close to the date, with traders weighing subtle shifts in ensemble runs for the final resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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