Recent forecasts for Munich on August 25 indicate overnight lows near 13–15°C amid increasing cloud cover, showers, and light westerly winds associated with a passing frontal system. These conditions limit nocturnal radiative cooling compared to clearer nights, supporting market clustering around 12–14°C as the most probable minimum. Key differentiators include model variations in cloud thickness and precipitation timing, which modulate downward longwave radiation and surface heat retention; higher humidity and reduced wind would favor slightly warmer minima near 14°C, while clearer breaks could allow brief drops toward 12°C. Trader consensus reflects this narrow uncertainty range typical of late-summer mid-latitude variability, with resolution hinging on final observational data from local stations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Munich on August 25?
Lowest temperature in Munich on August 25?
8°C or below 38%
18°C or higher 37%
12°C 31%
13°C 30%
NEW
NEW
Aug 25, 2026
8°C or below
38%
9°C
1%
10°C
10%
11°C
17%
12°C
31%
13°C
30%
14°C
27%
15°C
11%
16°C
1%
17°C
7%
18°C or higher
37%
8°C or below 38%
18°C or higher 37%
12°C 31%
13°C 30%
NEW
NEW
Aug 25, 2026
8°C or below
$140 Vol.
38%
9°C
$20 Vol.
1%
10°C
$0 Vol.
10%
11°C
$0 Vol.
17%
12°C
$0 Vol.
31%
13°C
$0 Vol.
30%
14°C
$0 Vol.
27%
15°C
$0 Vol.
11%
16°C
$5 Vol.
1%
17°C
$140 Vol.
7%
18°C or higher
$140 Vol.
37%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Munich on August 25 indicate overnight lows near 13–15°C amid increasing cloud cover, showers, and light westerly winds associated with a passing frontal system. These conditions limit nocturnal radiative cooling compared to clearer nights, supporting market clustering around 12–14°C as the most probable minimum. Key differentiators include model variations in cloud thickness and precipitation timing, which modulate downward longwave radiation and surface heat retention; higher humidity and reduced wind would favor slightly warmer minima near 14°C, while clearer breaks could allow brief drops toward 12°C. Trader consensus reflects this narrow uncertainty range typical of late-summer mid-latitude variability, with resolution hinging on final observational data from local stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 23, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$445End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Munich on August 25 indicate overnight lows near 13–15°C amid increasing cloud cover, showers, and light westerly winds associated with a passing frontal system. These conditions limit nocturnal radiative cooling compared to clearer nights, supporting market clustering around 12–14°C as the most probable minimum. Key differentiators include model variations in cloud thickness and precipitation timing, which modulate downward longwave radiation and surface heat retention; higher humidity and reduced wind would favor slightly warmer minima near 14°C, while clearer breaks could allow brief drops toward 12°C. Trader consensus reflects this narrow uncertainty range typical of late-summer mid-latitude variability, with resolution hinging on final observational data from local stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$445End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Munich on August 25 indicate overnight lows near 13–15°C amid increasing cloud cover, showers, and light westerly winds associated with a passing frontal system. These conditions limit nocturnal radiative cooling compared to clearer nights, supporting market clustering around 12–14°C as the most probable minimum. Key differentiators include model variations in cloud thickness and precipitation timing, which modulate downward longwave radiation and surface heat retention; higher humidity and reduced wind would favor slightly warmer minima near 14°C, while clearer breaks could allow brief drops toward 12°C. Trader consensus reflects this narrow uncertainty range typical of late-summer mid-latitude variability, with resolution hinging on final observational data from local stations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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