The intense upper-level ridge fueling Southern California's late-August heat wave remains the dominant driver of trader positioning around an 84–87°F high for downtown Los Angeles on August 26, aligning with National Weather Service forecasts that place coastal areas in the low-to-mid 80s despite triple-digit inland peaks. Warm near-shore ocean temperatures are limiting marine-layer cooling and sea-breeze moderation, while subsidence under the ridge promotes clear skies and efficient daytime heating. Subtle differences among the closely bunched 84–87°F bins hinge on forecast nuances such as exact wind direction, any residual afternoon cloud cover, or slight variations in the strength of onshore flow, all of which NWS model guidance will refine in the next 24 hours before resolution. Historical climatology peaks near 85°F on this date, providing a baseline against which the current anomalously warm airmass is being assessed.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Los Angeles on August 26?
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on August 26?
84-85°F 36%
86-87°F 27%
82-83°F 19%
88-89°F 7%
NEW
NEW
Aug 26, 2026
79°F or below
1%
80-81°F
6%
82-83°F
19%
84-85°F
36%
86-87°F
27%
88-89°F
7%
90-91°F
3%
92-93°F
1%
94-95°F
1%
96-97°F
1%
98°F or higher
<1%
84-85°F 36%
86-87°F 27%
82-83°F 19%
88-89°F 7%
NEW
NEW
Aug 26, 2026
79°F or below
$16 Vol.
1%
80-81°F
$212 Vol.
6%
82-83°F
$281 Vol.
19%
84-85°F
$109 Vol.
36%
86-87°F
$329 Vol.
27%
88-89°F
$101 Vol.
7%
90-91°F
$73 Vol.
3%
92-93°F
$0 Vol.
1%
94-95°F
$37 Vol.
1%
96-97°F
$0 Vol.
1%
98°F or higher
$376 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The intense upper-level ridge fueling Southern California's late-August heat wave remains the dominant driver of trader positioning around an 84–87°F high for downtown Los Angeles on August 26, aligning with National Weather Service forecasts that place coastal areas in the low-to-mid 80s despite triple-digit inland peaks. Warm near-shore ocean temperatures are limiting marine-layer cooling and sea-breeze moderation, while subsidence under the ridge promotes clear skies and efficient daytime heating. Subtle differences among the closely bunched 84–87°F bins hinge on forecast nuances such as exact wind direction, any residual afternoon cloud cover, or slight variations in the strength of onshore flow, all of which NWS model guidance will refine in the next 24 hours before resolution. Historical climatology peaks near 85°F on this date, providing a baseline against which the current anomalously warm airmass is being assessed.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 24, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
Volume
$1,533End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 8:57 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The intense upper-level ridge fueling Southern California's late-August heat wave remains the dominant driver of trader positioning around an 84–87°F high for downtown Los Angeles on August 26, aligning with National Weather Service forecasts that place coastal areas in the low-to-mid 80s despite triple-digit inland peaks. Warm near-shore ocean temperatures are limiting marine-layer cooling and sea-breeze moderation, while subsidence under the ridge promotes clear skies and efficient daytime heating. Subtle differences among the closely bunched 84–87°F bins hinge on forecast nuances such as exact wind direction, any residual afternoon cloud cover, or slight variations in the strength of onshore flow, all of which NWS model guidance will refine in the next 24 hours before resolution. Historical climatology peaks near 85°F on this date, providing a baseline against which the current anomalously warm airmass is being assessed.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,533End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 8:57 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxResolver
0x69c47De9D...The intense upper-level ridge fueling Southern California's late-August heat wave remains the dominant driver of trader positioning around an 84–87°F high for downtown Los Angeles on August 26, aligning with National Weather Service forecasts that place coastal areas in the low-to-mid 80s despite triple-digit inland peaks. Warm near-shore ocean temperatures are limiting marine-layer cooling and sea-breeze moderation, while subsidence under the ridge promotes clear skies and efficient daytime heating. Subtle differences among the closely bunched 84–87°F bins hinge on forecast nuances such as exact wind direction, any residual afternoon cloud cover, or slight variations in the strength of onshore flow, all of which NWS model guidance will refine in the next 24 hours before resolution. Historical climatology peaks near 85°F on this date, providing a baseline against which the current anomalously warm airmass is being assessed.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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