**Persistent heat wave conditions across Southern California are elevating overnight minimum temperatures in Los Angeles, driving trader consensus toward 70–73°F lows for August 26.** A strong high-pressure ridge has suppressed the typical marine layer, limiting radiational cooling and keeping humidity elevated, which prevents temperatures from dropping to seasonal norms of ~65–66°F. Official National Weather Service forecasts show recent and projected lows in the 70–74°F range amid near-record daytime heat, with minimal overnight relief expected through the period. This aligns with model consensus on a warm airmass persisting into the 26th, though slight variations in coastal influence or timing could allow cooler readings near 66–67°F. The closely matched probabilities reflect uncertainty in exact overnight recovery versus the dominant warm pattern.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Los Angeles on August 26?
Lowest temperature in Los Angeles on August 26?
64-65°F 42%
80°F or higher 36%
61°F or below 32%
72-73°F 27%
NEW
NEW
Aug 26, 2026
61°F or below
32%
62-63°F
10%
64-65°F
42%
66-67°F
23%
68-69°F
23%
70-71°F
31%
72-73°F
27%
74-75°F
23%
76-77°F
22%
78-79°F
2%
80°F or higher
36%
64-65°F 42%
80°F or higher 36%
61°F or below 32%
72-73°F 27%
NEW
NEW
Aug 26, 2026
61°F or below
$5 Vol.
32%
62-63°F
$5 Vol.
10%
64-65°F
$5 Vol.
42%
66-67°F
$0 Vol.
23%
68-69°F
$0 Vol.
23%
70-71°F
$47 Vol.
31%
72-73°F
$0 Vol.
27%
74-75°F
$0 Vol.
23%
76-77°F
$0 Vol.
22%
78-79°F
$5 Vol.
2%
80°F or higher
$5 Vol.
36%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent heat wave conditions across Southern California are elevating overnight minimum temperatures in Los Angeles, driving trader consensus toward 70–73°F lows for August 26.** A strong high-pressure ridge has suppressed the typical marine layer, limiting radiational cooling and keeping humidity elevated, which prevents temperatures from dropping to seasonal norms of ~65–66°F. Official National Weather Service forecasts show recent and projected lows in the 70–74°F range amid near-record daytime heat, with minimal overnight relief expected through the period. This aligns with model consensus on a warm airmass persisting into the 26th, though slight variations in coastal influence or timing could allow cooler readings near 66–67°F. The closely matched probabilities reflect uncertainty in exact overnight recovery versus the dominant warm pattern.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 24, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Volume
$72End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 9:30 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent heat wave conditions across Southern California are elevating overnight minimum temperatures in Los Angeles, driving trader consensus toward 70–73°F lows for August 26.** A strong high-pressure ridge has suppressed the typical marine layer, limiting radiational cooling and keeping humidity elevated, which prevents temperatures from dropping to seasonal norms of ~65–66°F. Official National Weather Service forecasts show recent and projected lows in the 70–74°F range amid near-record daytime heat, with minimal overnight relief expected through the period. This aligns with model consensus on a warm airmass persisting into the 26th, though slight variations in coastal influence or timing could allow cooler readings near 66–67°F. The closely matched probabilities reflect uncertainty in exact overnight recovery versus the dominant warm pattern.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$72End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 9:30 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Persistent heat wave conditions across Southern California are elevating overnight minimum temperatures in Los Angeles, driving trader consensus toward 70–73°F lows for August 26.** A strong high-pressure ridge has suppressed the typical marine layer, limiting radiational cooling and keeping humidity elevated, which prevents temperatures from dropping to seasonal norms of ~65–66°F. Official National Weather Service forecasts show recent and projected lows in the 70–74°F range amid near-record daytime heat, with minimal overnight relief expected through the period. This aligns with model consensus on a warm airmass persisting into the 26th, though slight variations in coastal influence or timing could allow cooler readings near 66–67°F. The closely matched probabilities reflect uncertainty in exact overnight recovery versus the dominant warm pattern.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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