Trader consensus centers on 78–79°F as the most likely overnight low for Miami on August 26, reflecting the subtropical summer baseline where average minima hover near 78–80°F amid high humidity and light easterly flow. Key variables include overnight cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms, which can trap heat and elevate lows toward 80–81°F, versus clearer skies allowing radiational cooling into the mid-70s. Sea surface temperatures in the upper 80s sustain warmth, while steering patterns and any frontal remnants introduce uncertainty. Official National Weather Service guidance and model consensus favor stable conditions without major tropical influences tomorrow, though brief showers remain possible. Historical August data shows rare dips below 76°F absent unusual dry-air intrusions.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Miami on August 26?
Lowest temperature in Miami on August 26?
78-79°F 39%
80-81°F 24%
76-77°F 13%
84-85°F 11%
NEW
NEW
Aug 26, 2026
67°F or below
1%
68-69°F
2%
70-71°F
4%
72-73°F
7%
74-75°F
6%
76-77°F
13%
78-79°F
39%
80-81°F
24%
82-83°F
10%
84-85°F
11%
86°F or higher
2%
78-79°F 39%
80-81°F 24%
76-77°F 13%
84-85°F 11%
NEW
NEW
Aug 26, 2026
67°F or below
$5 Vol.
1%
68-69°F
$5 Vol.
2%
70-71°F
$10 Vol.
4%
72-73°F
$10 Vol.
7%
74-75°F
$0 Vol.
6%
76-77°F
$31 Vol.
13%
78-79°F
$0 Vol.
39%
80-81°F
$0 Vol.
24%
82-83°F
$0 Vol.
10%
84-85°F
$10 Vol.
11%
86°F or higher
$10 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus centers on 78–79°F as the most likely overnight low for Miami on August 26, reflecting the subtropical summer baseline where average minima hover near 78–80°F amid high humidity and light easterly flow. Key variables include overnight cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms, which can trap heat and elevate lows toward 80–81°F, versus clearer skies allowing radiational cooling into the mid-70s. Sea surface temperatures in the upper 80s sustain warmth, while steering patterns and any frontal remnants introduce uncertainty. Official National Weather Service guidance and model consensus favor stable conditions without major tropical influences tomorrow, though brief showers remain possible. Historical August data shows rare dips below 76°F absent unusual dry-air intrusions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 24, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
Volume
$81End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 9:29 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus centers on 78–79°F as the most likely overnight low for Miami on August 26, reflecting the subtropical summer baseline where average minima hover near 78–80°F amid high humidity and light easterly flow. Key variables include overnight cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms, which can trap heat and elevate lows toward 80–81°F, versus clearer skies allowing radiational cooling into the mid-70s. Sea surface temperatures in the upper 80s sustain warmth, while steering patterns and any frontal remnants introduce uncertainty. Official National Weather Service guidance and model consensus favor stable conditions without major tropical influences tomorrow, though brief showers remain possible. Historical August data shows rare dips below 76°F absent unusual dry-air intrusions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$81End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 9:29 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus centers on 78–79°F as the most likely overnight low for Miami on August 26, reflecting the subtropical summer baseline where average minima hover near 78–80°F amid high humidity and light easterly flow. Key variables include overnight cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms, which can trap heat and elevate lows toward 80–81°F, versus clearer skies allowing radiational cooling into the mid-70s. Sea surface temperatures in the upper 80s sustain warmth, while steering patterns and any frontal remnants introduce uncertainty. Official National Weather Service guidance and model consensus favor stable conditions without major tropical influences tomorrow, though brief showers remain possible. Historical August data shows rare dips below 76°F absent unusual dry-air intrusions.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions