Official NWS guidance and ensemble model consensus point to a daily high in the upper 80s for Miami on August 26, driven by southeasterly flow, elevated moisture, and a 40-50% chance of afternoon thunderstorms that can cap daytime heating through cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Recent observations from Miami International Airport show Tuesday’s peak near 90-91°F under partly sunny conditions, providing a warm start, yet increasing dew points near 78-79°F and heat indices above 100°F signal greater convective potential tomorrow that historically trims actual maxima by 2-4°F when storms initiate before peak heating. Sea-breeze interactions along the southeast Florida coast and steering from the Bermuda high further support this setup, consistent with late-August climatology where Miami averages 87°F. Updated short-range model runs and the next NWS discussion will refine timing of any convective initiation and its impact on the observed high.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Miami on August 26?
Highest temperature in Miami on August 26?
90-91°F 47%
88-89°F 38%
92-93°F 10%
86-87°F 7%
NEW
NEW
Aug 26, 2026
79°F or below
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
7%
88-89°F
38%
90-91°F
47%
92-93°F
10%
94-95°F
2%
96-97°F
<1%
98°F or higher
<1%
90-91°F 47%
88-89°F 38%
92-93°F 10%
86-87°F 7%
NEW
NEW
Aug 26, 2026
79°F or below
$215 Vol.
<1%
80-81°F
$295 Vol.
<1%
82-83°F
$255 Vol.
<1%
84-85°F
$969 Vol.
1%
86-87°F
$423 Vol.
7%
88-89°F
$668 Vol.
38%
90-91°F
$972 Vol.
47%
92-93°F
$564 Vol.
10%
94-95°F
$161 Vol.
2%
96-97°F
$386 Vol.
<1%
98°F or higher
$216 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official NWS guidance and ensemble model consensus point to a daily high in the upper 80s for Miami on August 26, driven by southeasterly flow, elevated moisture, and a 40-50% chance of afternoon thunderstorms that can cap daytime heating through cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Recent observations from Miami International Airport show Tuesday’s peak near 90-91°F under partly sunny conditions, providing a warm start, yet increasing dew points near 78-79°F and heat indices above 100°F signal greater convective potential tomorrow that historically trims actual maxima by 2-4°F when storms initiate before peak heating. Sea-breeze interactions along the southeast Florida coast and steering from the Bermuda high further support this setup, consistent with late-August climatology where Miami averages 87°F. Updated short-range model runs and the next NWS discussion will refine timing of any convective initiation and its impact on the observed high.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 24, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Volume
$5,124End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 8:56 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official NWS guidance and ensemble model consensus point to a daily high in the upper 80s for Miami on August 26, driven by southeasterly flow, elevated moisture, and a 40-50% chance of afternoon thunderstorms that can cap daytime heating through cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Recent observations from Miami International Airport show Tuesday’s peak near 90-91°F under partly sunny conditions, providing a warm start, yet increasing dew points near 78-79°F and heat indices above 100°F signal greater convective potential tomorrow that historically trims actual maxima by 2-4°F when storms initiate before peak heating. Sea-breeze interactions along the southeast Florida coast and steering from the Bermuda high further support this setup, consistent with late-August climatology where Miami averages 87°F. Updated short-range model runs and the next NWS discussion will refine timing of any convective initiation and its impact on the observed high.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$5,124End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 8:56 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official NWS guidance and ensemble model consensus point to a daily high in the upper 80s for Miami on August 26, driven by southeasterly flow, elevated moisture, and a 40-50% chance of afternoon thunderstorms that can cap daytime heating through cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Recent observations from Miami International Airport show Tuesday’s peak near 90-91°F under partly sunny conditions, providing a warm start, yet increasing dew points near 78-79°F and heat indices above 100°F signal greater convective potential tomorrow that historically trims actual maxima by 2-4°F when storms initiate before peak heating. Sea-breeze interactions along the southeast Florida coast and steering from the Bermuda high further support this setup, consistent with late-August climatology where Miami averages 87°F. Updated short-range model runs and the next NWS discussion will refine timing of any convective initiation and its impact on the observed high.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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