**Trader sentiment for the lowest temperature in Panamá City on August 26, 2026, centers on the narrow 23–26 °C range because official forecasts and model consensus cluster there amid typical wet-season conditions.** In Panamá’s tropical climate during August (peak rainy season), overnight lows normally vary only 3–6 °C from daytime highs due to persistent high humidity (often 80–95 %), extensive cloud cover, and frequent showers or thunderstorms that limit radiative cooling. Current forecasts from multiple sources project nighttime minima of 24–26 °C, with some runs indicating brief dips to 23–25 °C under clearer intervals or heavier rain-cooled air. The market’s near-even probabilities around 23–26 °C (each ~48–50 %) reflect this tight clustering and modest model spread, while the low 9 % on 20 °C or below underscores the rarity of stronger cooling in this environment. Higher outcomes above 27 °C carry negligible odds consistent with observed dew points near 24–25 °C and minimal wind. Key near-term variables include the timing and intensity of convective activity, which can either suppress or briefly enhance cooling, and any late-day model updates from regional guidance. Resolution will hinge on the official daily minimum recorded at local observing stations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Panama City on August 26?
Lowest temperature in Panama City on August 26?
21°C 96%
22°C 96%
25°C 50%
26°C 50%
NEW
NEW
Aug 26, 2026
20°C or below
18%
21°C
96%
22°C
96%
23°C
49%
24°C
49%
25°C
50%
26°C
50%
27°C
<1%
28°C
49%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
21°C 96%
22°C 96%
25°C 50%
26°C 50%
NEW
NEW
Aug 26, 2026
20°C or below
$135 Vol.
18%
21°C
$5 Vol.
96%
22°C
$27 Vol.
96%
23°C
$15 Vol.
49%
24°C
$1 Vol.
49%
25°C
$0 Vol.
50%
26°C
$0 Vol.
50%
27°C
$221 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$50 Vol.
49%
29°C
$52 Vol.
<1%
30°C or higher
$290 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for the lowest temperature in Panamá City on August 26, 2026, centers on the narrow 23–26 °C range because official forecasts and model consensus cluster there amid typical wet-season conditions.**
In Panamá’s tropical climate during August (peak rainy season), overnight lows normally vary only 3–6 °C from daytime highs due to persistent high humidity (often 80–95 %), extensive cloud cover, and frequent showers or thunderstorms that limit radiative cooling. Current forecasts from multiple sources project nighttime minima of 24–26 °C, with some runs indicating brief dips to 23–25 °C under clearer intervals or heavier rain-cooled air.
The market’s near-even probabilities around 23–26 °C (each ~48–50 %) reflect this tight clustering and modest model spread, while the low 9 % on 20 °C or below underscores the rarity of stronger cooling in this environment. Higher outcomes above 27 °C carry negligible odds consistent with observed dew points near 24–25 °C and minimal wind.
Key near-term variables include the timing and intensity of convective activity, which can either suppress or briefly enhance cooling, and any late-day model updates from regional guidance. Resolution will hinge on the official daily minimum recorded at local observing stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 24, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Volume
$795End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 9:30 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for the lowest temperature in Panamá City on August 26, 2026, centers on the narrow 23–26 °C range because official forecasts and model consensus cluster there amid typical wet-season conditions.**
In Panamá’s tropical climate during August (peak rainy season), overnight lows normally vary only 3–6 °C from daytime highs due to persistent high humidity (often 80–95 %), extensive cloud cover, and frequent showers or thunderstorms that limit radiative cooling. Current forecasts from multiple sources project nighttime minima of 24–26 °C, with some runs indicating brief dips to 23–25 °C under clearer intervals or heavier rain-cooled air.
The market’s near-even probabilities around 23–26 °C (each ~48–50 %) reflect this tight clustering and modest model spread, while the low 9 % on 20 °C or below underscores the rarity of stronger cooling in this environment. Higher outcomes above 27 °C carry negligible odds consistent with observed dew points near 24–25 °C and minimal wind.
Key near-term variables include the timing and intensity of convective activity, which can either suppress or briefly enhance cooling, and any late-day model updates from regional guidance. Resolution will hinge on the official daily minimum recorded at local observing stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$795End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 9:30 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for the lowest temperature in Panamá City on August 26, 2026, centers on the narrow 23–26 °C range because official forecasts and model consensus cluster there amid typical wet-season conditions.** In Panamá’s tropical climate during August (peak rainy season), overnight lows normally vary only 3–6 °C from daytime highs due to persistent high humidity (often 80–95 %), extensive cloud cover, and frequent showers or thunderstorms that limit radiative cooling. Current forecasts from multiple sources project nighttime minima of 24–26 °C, with some runs indicating brief dips to 23–25 °C under clearer intervals or heavier rain-cooled air. The market’s near-even probabilities around 23–26 °C (each ~48–50 %) reflect this tight clustering and modest model spread, while the low 9 % on 20 °C or below underscores the rarity of stronger cooling in this environment. Higher outcomes above 27 °C carry negligible odds consistent with observed dew points near 24–25 °C and minimal wind. Key near-term variables include the timing and intensity of convective activity, which can either suppress or briefly enhance cooling, and any late-day model updates from regional guidance. Resolution will hinge on the official daily minimum recorded at local observing stations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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